Ryan Palmer
67%
Sharp Lean
"Palmer +0.85 SG: Approach edge past 10 vs Streelman's -0.42 = model 58% win prob, +3.2 EV ML"
Line Movement
Open
omega_model
Current
Ryan Palmer -0.5 / Kevin Streelman +0.5 | Total 70.5 | ML Palmer -125 / Streelman +105
Movement
N/A - model generated lines
+EV on Palmer ML at model price; fade Streelman's weak recent SG: Approach
Palmer holds +1.27 SG: Approach edge past 10 events vs Streelman's -0.42, projecting 1.2 stroke win probability advantage. Model total 70.2 reflects both players' 70.1-70.3 scoring avg on neutral sites. Streelman's 42% cut rate adds volatility but Palmer's consistency wins out.
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.