NHL
Edmonton Oilers
Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
Knights
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAEdmonton Oilers
Vegas Golden Knights
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada Best Line | - | -138 / 117 ↑ | - |
| Pinnacle | - | -135 / 119 | - |
| Bovada Best Line | 2.5 (-750) | - | - |
| Pinnacle | -1.5 (181) ↓ | - | - |
| Bovada Best Line | - | - | Over 3.5 (105) |
| Pinnacle | - | - | Over 6.5 (-106) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Edmonton Oilers
T
Trent Frederic
L
Leon Draisaitl
C
Colton Dach
M
Mattias Janmark
C
Curtis Lazar
Vegas Golden Knights
No injuries reported
Get Daily Picks
AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.
You're in!
Already subscribed!
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Edmonton Oilers @ Vegas Golden Knights
+1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Edmonton Oilers +1.5
62%
Lean
"EDM +1.5 (-225) covers 68% in VGK as dogs; Draisaitl out tanks Oilers scoring -1.2 xG, +3.1 EV under 6.5"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
51%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+1.0%
Line Movement
Current
VGK -1.5 (+185) / EDM +1.5 (-225); ML VGK -135 / EDM +114; Total 6.5
Movement
No movement data available
No edge on VGK ML; slight lean EDM ML +114 has -EV after vig
Model: 40.9% win rate | n=22
— Small sample; using market priors with injury adjustment
FULL ANALYSIS
EDM crippled without Draisaitl + 4 depth forwards drops their exp goals -1.2; VGK home edge with Eichel at 1.2 pts/60. Model sees +1.5 cover value as EDM covers 68% as road dogs in VGK (last 25). Under 6.5 via EDM pace drop -14%, hits 58% VGK late home.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
65%
Vegas Golden Knights -145
- Edmonton missing Draisaitl (elite center) + 4 depth forwards on IR craters their projection by 0.7 goals
SPREAD PICK
●
62%
Edmonton Oilers
- Model exp score diff 0.7 goals favors covering +1.5 in 68% sims despite ML lean
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
67%
UNDER 6.0 6.0
- Oilers injuries gut scoring depth (exp 2.9 goals vs season avg 3.4); combined model total 6.5 but Vegas home unders hit 54% (N=42)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Oilers -0.7 exp goals sans Draisaitl swarm; model Vegas 3.6-2.9 but Under 6 +2.1 EV best play
Partner Spotlight
Want to reach bettors who use data?
partnerships@degendailynews.com21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700