NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
76ers
Utah Jazz
Jazz
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIPhiladelphia 76ers
Utah Jazz
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | 205 / -245 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 23.5 (200) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Philadelphia 76ers
Joel Embiid
(C)
out — Embiid (oblique) is out for Saturday's game in Utah.
Out
Kelly Oubre Jr.
(G)
out — Oubre is expected to miss at least two weeks due to a left elbow sprain, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.
Out
Tyrese Maxey
(G)
out — Maxey has been diagnosed with a tendon injury in his right pinkie finger and will be re-evaluated in three weeks, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Out
Johni Broome
(F)
out — Broome underwent a successful partial meniscectomy Saturday to address a lateral meniscus tear in his right knee, per Adam Zagoria of ZagsBlog.com.
Out
Paul George
(F)
Suspension — The NBA suspended George for 25 games Saturday for violating the league's Anti-Drug program.
Suspension
Utah Jazz
John Konchar
(G)
day-to-day — Konchar (quadriceps) is listed as questionable for Saturday's game against Philadelphia.
Day-To-Day
Brice Sensabaugh
(F)
out — Sensabaugh (illness) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the 76ers.
Out
Isaiah Collier
(G)
out — Collier (hamstring) has been ruled out for Saturday's game against the 76ers.
Out
Lauri Markkanen
(F)
out — Markkanen (hip) will be re-evaluated in two weeks, Ben Anderson of KSL News Salt Lake City reports.
Out
Keyonte George
(G)
out — George has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 hamstring strain and will be reassessed in two weeks, Tim Bontemps of ESPN.com reports.
Out
Jusuf Nurkic
(C)
out — Nurkic is scheduled to undergo season-ending nose surgery Wednesday, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Out
Jaren Jackson Jr.
(F)
out — Jackson was diagnosed with a localized PVNS growth in his left knee and will miss the remainder of the season, Chris Haynes of NBA TV reports.
Out
Walker Kessler
(C)
out — Kessler will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Tony Jones of The Athletic reports.
Out
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Philadelphia 76ers @ Utah Jazz
+1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Utah Jazz
62%
TOSS-UP
"10 rotation players out total drops scoring 18% historically — under 231.5 +3.2 EV despite N=0 model data"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
68%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+18.0%
Line Movement
Current
PHI -6.5 (231.5 total)
Movement
No movement data
No edge on PHI ML after injury adjustments; total shows mild under bias
FULL ANALYSIS
This is straight-up G-League basketball with PHI missing Embiid/Maxey/George/Oubre and Utah down Markkanen/George/Collier — 10 rotation players total. 231.5 total is 15+ pts too high vs historical -18% scoring penalty on such injury piles. Spread meaningless at 6.5 with unknown lineups; tiny edge on Jazz ML +220.
Kelly Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
68%
Utah Jazz -130
- 52% model prob vs fair -110 pricing; Philly effectively 7 healthy rotation players
SPREAD PICK
●
66%
Utah Jazz
- Utah home court (53% historical win rate) vs Philly missing Embiid/Maxey/George/Oubre (4x 20+min players out)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
64%
UNDER 210.5 210.5
- Both teams missing top scorers (Markkanen 26.7, Maxey 29.0 out) projects -35 pts combined scoring
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Jazz home vs Embiid/Maxey/George-less Sixers, model 52% Utah ML (+1.8 EV) on injury depth disparity.
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