MLB
New York Mets
Mets
Houston Astros
Astros
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAINew York Mets
Houston Astros
Injury Report
New York Mets
Francisco Lindor
(SS)
day-to-day — Lindor (hand) played four innings at shortstop while making his spring debut in Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Blue Jays, but afterwards he wouldn't commit to being ready for Opening Day despite saying that he has "checked every single box," Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Justin Hagenman
(RP)
60-day IL — The Mets placed Hagenman on the 60-day injured list Saturday due to a rib fracture.
60-Day-IL
A.J. Minter
(RP)
out — Minter (lat) hit 93 mph with his fastball in a live batting practice session Friday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Out
Brandon Waddell
(RP)
day-to-day — The Mets outrighted Waddell to Triple-A Syracuse on Friday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Robert Stock
(RP)
out — Stock experienced shoulder discomfort while playing with Team Israel in the World Baseball Classic and will undergo testing, Laura Albanese of Newsday reports.
Out
Nate Lavender
(RP)
out — Lavender (elbow) cleared outright waivers Wednesday and was returned to the Mets.
Out
Grae Kessinger
(3B)
out — Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said that Kessinger will get imaging done after suffering a left knee injury in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals, SNY Mets reports.
Out
Dedniel Nunez
(RP)
60-day IL — The Mets transferred Nunez (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Monday.
60-Day-IL
Tylor Megill
(SP)
60-day IL — The Mets and Megill (elbow) avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $2.5 million contract Thursday, Ari Alexander of 7 News Boston reports.
60-Day-IL
Reed Garrett
(RP)
60-day IL — The Mets placed Garrett (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
Houston Astros
Zach Dezenzo
(LF)
day-to-day — no
Day-To-Day
Jeremy Pena
(SS)
out — Astros manager Joe Espada said Wednesday that Pena (finger) has resumed throwing and will start swinging a bat with both hands this weekend, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Out
Enyel De Los Santos
(RP)
day-to-day — Astros manager Joe Espada said that De Los Santos (knee) is slated to pitch in a game Tuesday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Josh Hader
(RP)
out — Astros manager Joe Espada said Wednesday that Hader (biceps) will begin the season on the injured list, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Out
Nate Pearson
(RP)
out — Astros manager Joe Espada said Tuesday that the team will "slow down" Pearson's throwing program after the pitcher felt soreness in his surgically repaired right elbow during his last bullpen session, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
Out
Glenn Otto
(RP)
day-to-day — The Astros reassigned Otto (shoulder) and Ray Gaither (shoulder) to minor-league camp Tuesday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Hayden Wesneski
(SP)
out — Wesneski (elbow) agreed to a one-year, $975,000 deal with the Astros on Thursday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Out
Brandon Walter
(SP)
out — Walter (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery Monday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Out
Ronel Blanco
(SP)
out — Blanco (elbow) was activated from the injured list Thursday, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
Out
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
New York Mets @ Houston Astros
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Houston Astros
67%
TOSS-UP
"Astros home +15% ELO edge vs injured Mets, model +3.2 EV ML at -110 fair"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.5%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - early season game
Current
N/A - no books open yet
Movement
none
Model projects Astros -110 fair ML vs market prior -105; +EV on home side
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
55%
Houston Astros -140 (DDN_model fair)
- Home field + superior Astros position player core (Altuve/Correa intact) vs Mets injury concerns
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Astros home opener +5.5% model edge vs injured Mets, +3.7 EV at fair -140
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