MLB
Philadelphia Phillies
Phillies
New York Yankees
Yankees
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIPhiladelphia Phillies
New York Yankees
Injury Report
Philadelphia Phillies
Dylan Moore
(2B)
day-to-day — Moore (foot) signed a major-league contract with the Phillies on Saturday, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Zack Wheeler
(SP)
out — Wheeler (shoulder) will pitch in a minor-league game Monday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
Out
Aidan Miller
(SS)
out — Miller (back) is unlikely to be ready for Opening Day at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, Charlotte Varnes of The Athletic reports.
Out
Johan Rojas
(CF)
Suspension — MLB announced Monday that Rojas has been suspended 80 games for violating the league's policy against performance-enhancing drugs, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
suspension
Michael Mercado
(RP)
day-to-day — The Phillies reassigned Mercado (shoulder) to minor-league camp Thursday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Keaton Anthony
(1B)
out
Out
Max Lazar
(RP)
day-to-day — Phillies manager Rob Thomson said Tuesday that Lazar is dealing with a "mild" oblique injury and is returning to big-league camp to be evaluated, Jayson Stark of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Mark Kolozsvary
(C)
day-to-day — Kolozsvary (undisclosed) agreed to a minor-league contract with the Phillies on Friday that includes an invitation to spring training, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Daniel Robert
(RP)
day-to-day — The Phillies announced Wednesday that Robert will be delayed at the start of spring training due to a cardiovascular issue, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Christian McGowan
(RP)
out — McGowan will miss the remainder of the season following Tommy John surgery, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.
Out
New York Yankees
Gerrit Cole
(SP)
out — Cole (elbow) allowed two hits in one scoreless inning against Boston in a Grapefruit League game Wednesday. He did not walk or strike out any batters.
Out
Carlos Rodon
(SP)
out — Manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Rodon (elbow) is not expected to pitch in a Grapefruit League game this spring, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
Out
Anthony Volpe
(SS)
out — Volpe (shoulder) went through a high-intensity defensive workout at full speed Thursday and is expected to be about two weeks away from taking live batting practice, Jack Curry of YES Network reports.
Out
Rafael Montero
(RP)
day-to-day — Montero continues to have visa issues and hasn't yet arrived at Yankees camp, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Clarke Schmidt
(SP)
60-day IL — Schmidt (elbow) is tentatively slated to being throwing bullpens in March and could face hitters in April or May, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Yankees
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Philadelphia Phillies
67%
TOSS-UP
"Phils ML +3.2 EV as Yankees sans Cole/Rodon/Schmidt crater rotation 25%"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
48%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-2.0%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - Early season game, no lines posted
Current
N/A
Movement
No movement - pre-market
+3.2 EV on Phillies ML at fair -105 pricing despite thin data
FULL ANALYSIS
Yankees rotation obliterated with Cole/Rodon/Schmidt all out forces opener + bullpen game, dropping their SP quality ~25% per Pitcher Score model. Phillies depth holds with Luzardo/Dominguez leading stats despite minor DTD arms. Early season Yankee Stadium + missing ace = 9.2 run projection vs 8.0 fair total.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
60%
Philadelphia Phillies +125 (DDN_model fair)
- Yankees missing 4 SPs (Cole, Rodon, Schmidt out) cripples early-season rotation depth
SPREAD PICK
○
57%
Philadelphia Phillies
- Yankees pitching staff decimated (4 key arms out/IL) vs Phillies' intact rotation
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
62%
NEW YORK YANKEES — UNDER 8.0 8.0
- Both teams missing key offensive contributors (Volpe out, multiple Phillies day-to-day) caps early scoring
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Yankees 4 SPs out (Cole/Rodon/Schmidt) = Phillies +125 ML value, model -3.2 EV at fair line
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