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Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Toronto Blue Jays
Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
58% Lean
58% Lean
SPREAD
Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays None
"Toronto ML +123 (46.2% MC vs 59.9% implied, +2.1 EV); omega 0.0 spread crushes -149 market juice"
EV / $100
+1.8
Win Prob
46%
Edge
-3.8%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Toronto Blue Jays None
60%
TOTAL under 8.5
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Ω OMEGA LINE Poisson + ELO Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +149.0
Total
24.0
Edge: +15.5
Win Prob
28.1%
ML
255 / -255

Player Props Engine

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Los Angeles Dodgers

Toronto Blue Jays

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Market Consensus - 125 / -139 ↑ -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-134) - -
Market Consensus - - Over 8.5 (-119)
Fair Value Fair Value -127 / 127 132 / -132 O/U -111 / 111
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Dodgers

M
Mookie Betts
(SS) 10-day IL — Manager Dave Roberts announced Sunday that Betts was diagnosed with a right oblique strain and is being placed on the 10-day injured list, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
10-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Blake Snell
(SP) 15-day IL — Manager Dave Roberts told reporters Wednesday that Snell (shoulder) will "likely" face hitters once the Dodgers return to Los Angeles from their upcoming six-game road trip, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
15-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) took on-field batting practice at Dodger Stadium on Saturday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 10-day IL — Edman (ankle) took on-field batting practice Saturday and is progressing well, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
10-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — Stewart (shoulder) will begin throwing live batting practice Friday, Sonja Chen of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Graterol (shoulder) was spotted playing catch out to about 90 feet Monday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 15-day IL — The Dodgers placed Knack on the 15-day injured list Monday due to an intercostal strain, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

A
Addison Barger
(3B) day-to-day — Manager John Schneider said Sunday he hopes Barger (ankles) is out for "just a day or two, or maybe not even a day," Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
A
Anthony Santander
(RF) 60-day IL — Toronto moved Santander (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.
60-Day-IL
C
Cody Ponce
(SP) 60-day IL — The Blue Jays transferred Ponce (knee) to the 60-day injured list Sunday.
60-Day-IL
A
Alejandro Kirk
(C) 10-day IL — Kirk (thumb) isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against the White Sox.
10-Day-IL
T
Trey Yesavage
(SP) 15-day IL — Yesavage (shoulder) allowed one run on one hit and one walk over 2.2 innings for Single-A Dunedin on Friday. He struck our four.
15-Day-IL
J
Jose Berrios
(SP) 15-day IL — Berrios (elbow) threw a bullpen session Tuesday and is expected to face hitters Saturday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
S
Shane Bieber
(SP) 15-day IL — Bieber (elbow) will throw off a mound Saturday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
Y
Yimi Garcia
(RP) 15-day IL — Garcia (elbow) will throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
C
Chay Yeager
(RP) out — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Out
B
Bowden Francis
(SP) 60-day IL — Manager John Schneider revealed Tuesday that Francis is undergoing UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow and will miss the 2026 season, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 1.5 (-134)
Total Over 8.5
Key Injuries
Mookie Betts 10-Day-IL
Gavin Stone 60-Day-IL
Addison Barger Day-To-Day
Anthony Santander 60-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Toronto Blue Jays

+1.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Toronto Blue Jays 58% Lean
"Toronto ML +123 (46.2% MC vs 59.9% implied, +2.1 EV); omega 0.0 spread crushes -149 market juice"
46% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 46%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -3.8%
Line Movement
Current LAD -149 / Toronto +123 / Total 8.5
Movement No movement data
No positive EV side; Toronto ML offers best value vs market but still negative vs omega_model calibration
Model: 53.0% win rate | n=285 — MLB 151-134 (53%); lean tier spreads/moneylines/totals profitable but overconfident
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega spread dead even at 0.0 vs market -149 with MC 46.2% each side; Toronto +123 ML has +2.1 EV vs our prob (breakeven 44.8%). Mookie Betts IL + TOR pitching injuries but Gausman (0.75 ERA) vs Glasnow (3.00) neutralizes. Totals losing higher tiers, pass 8.5.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Toronto Blue Jays None
+1.8 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Toronto Blue Jays None
+2.1 EV 60% 0.5u
TOTAL under 8.5
+0.9 EV 55%
MONEYLINE PICK
● 64%
Los Angeles Dodgers -263
  • Away win prob 72.8% vs -263 implied 72.4%; ELO 1563.8 vs Toronto 1422.1 gives clear talent edge
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.0
  • ELO projects Dodgers -5.7 spread despite 0.0 model line; Toronto missing Berrios/Bieber weakens rotation
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 24.0
  • Model total 24.0 inflated by early-season Poisson variance; historical MLB avg ~9 runs/game
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Dodgers -263 (72.8% model) off ELO gap + Jays missing 2 SPs; +2.8EV despite juice
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