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NHL
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers
Oilers
3 - 1
LIVE
New York Rangers
Rangers
New York Rangers
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω DDN SI PICK +50.0% EV EARLY VALUE
51% Lean
51% Lean
MONEYLINE
Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers None
"Oilers +105 is the only +EV side (+$1.5/100) with NYR's entire goalie stable on IR, but with no line movement and NHL calibration paused, treat this as a half-unit play at most"
EV / $100
+1.5
Win Prob
50%
Edge
+5.1%
SPREAD Edmonton Oilers 1.5
50%
TOTAL under 6.5
48%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 6.6% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$54005 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away Polymarket: 17 trades Kalshi: 3 trades Largest: $24433
DDN SI LINE DDN SI Independent Projection
Spread
1.0
Edge: +2.5
Total
7.5
Edge: +1.0
Win Prob
28.8%
ML
247 / -247

Player Props Engine

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Edmonton Oilers

New York Rangers

Live Stats

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -125 / 105 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -123 / 111 -
Sharp Action Best Line -1.5 (185) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (195) ↓ - -
Value Line 1.5 (410) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 6.5 (-120)
Market Consensus - - Over 6.5 (-104)
Value Line - - Over 5.5 (165)
De-Vigged Fair Value 212 / -212 -117 / 117 O/U 102 / -102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Edmonton Oilers

I
Isaac Howard
(LW) out — Howard (knee) won't play against the Rangers on Sunday, per Stephen Whyno of the Associated Press.
Out
Z
Zach Hyman
(LW) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
D
Devon Levi
(G) Injured Reserve — Levi (undisclosed) is expected to miss a few weeks, per Jason Gregor of Sports 1440 Edmonton.
Injured Reserve
A
Alec Regula
(D) Injured Reserve — Regula (undisclosed) was designated for long-term injured reserve Thursday.
Injured Reserve
M
Matt Savoie
(C) Injured Reserve — Savoie (lower body) was shifted to long-term injured reserve Thursday.
Injured Reserve
F
Frederik Andersen
(G) Injured Reserve — Andersen (knee) isn't expected back until "maybe" December, head coach Mike Babcock told NHL.com on Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
M
Mattias Janmark
(C) Injured Reserve — Janmark (undisclosed) does not have a timetable for his return from injury.
Injured Reserve
A
Atro Leppanen
(D) Injured Reserve — ir-nr
Injured Reserve

New York Rangers

S
Sean Durzi
(D) out — out
Out
I
Igor Shesterkin
(G) Injured Reserve — Shesterkin will require surgery and a lengthy rehab process to address his season-ending right knee injury, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports Sunday.
Injured Reserve
J
Joe Veleno
(C) Injured Reserve — Veleno (lower body) was placed on long-term injured reserve Saturday, Vince Z. Mercogliano of The Athletic reports.
Injured Reserve
J
Joonas Korpisalo
(G) Injured Reserve — Korpisalo (lower body) will miss at least four more weeks, per Elliotte Friedman of Sportsnet on Saturday.
Injured Reserve
A
Aidan Thompson
(C) Injured Reserve — ir-nr
Injured Reserve
A
Adam Sykora
(LW) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
Live Box Score
LIVE
Edmonton Oilers
Oilers
3
-
New York Rangers
Rangers
1

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-01T12:07:03.778161 UTC

Model projection only (no bookmaker lines supplied): McDavid leads with 29 points per supplied team-leader data; with Hyman and Savoie on IR, usage concentrates further on the Draisaitl-McDavid core. Unvalidated roster, capped at 60 per instructions.

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Edmonton Oilers @ New York Rangers

+1.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Edmonton Oilers 51% Lean
"Oilers +105 is the only +EV side (+$1.5/100) with NYR's entire goalie stable on IR, but with no line movement and NHL calibration paused, treat this as a half-unit play at most"
50% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 50%
Book Implied 44%
Edge +5.1%
Line Movement
Open unavailable
Current Rangers -1.5 (+190) / Oilers +1.5 (-230); ML Rangers -125 / Oilers +105; Total 6.5 (over -112 / under +100)
Movement No significant line movement detected
Oilers ML at +105 carries marginal positive EV (+$1.50/100) against our 49.5% fused posterior; the +1.5 spread at -230 and the under at +100 are both negative-EV at our numbers, so this slate is thin overall
FULL ANALYSIS
The market prices the Rangers like Shesterkin is starting; he is on IR, and both Korpisalo and Veleno join him, so the OMEGA engine projects 3.2-4.2 for Edmonton and a 7.3-7.5 total vs the market's 6.5. The fused posterior still only gets Oilers ML to 49.5% — barely above the 48.8% breakeven at +105, which nets roughly +$1.5/100, and the +1.5 at -230 is firmly negative EV. Whale wallets moved $49.6K on Edmonton (STRONG tier, 67%) which aligns with the weak sharp ML lean, but NHL calibration is PAUSED today and every tier regression in the last 30 days argues against paying up at -230. Best structure: Oilers ML at +105 if you must, everything else pass.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edge is only 0.8% toward Edmonton ML and 0.4% toward Oilers +1.5 (weak, no RLM); the only moderate signal is 1.4% on the under. Whale wallets ($49.6K, STRONG tier, 67% split) also lean away, modestly corroborating the sharp ML lean
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Edmonton Oilers None
+1.5 EV 51%
SPREAD Edmonton Oilers 1.5
-6.6 EV 50%
TOTAL under 6.5
-2.4 EV 48%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 51%
Edmonton Oilers 105
  • Fused posterior gives Edmonton 49.5% vs 44.4% market-implied (+5.1pp), and +105 pricing clears the 48.8% breakeven only barely
SPREAD PICK
○ 50%
Edmonton Oilers 1.5
  • Oilers +1.5 cover posterior is 67.7% (highest-probability side in the slate), but at -230 the 69.7% breakeven exceeds it — no EV, selected only as the schema-mandated spread side
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 48%
UNDER 6.5
  • Only the under clears the schema side-selection test at our numbers — MC totals simulation at 7.5 projects under 52.9% and sharp books show a moderate 1.4% under divergence vs retail, but at market 6.5 the fused under posterior (48.8%) is below coin-flip
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
PASS — EDM whale volume $29K is real but NHL is paused at -13.9% ROI and posterior edge is 0.0pp with both teams' goalies depleted.
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