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NBA
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
Bulls
Washington Wizards
Wizards
Washington Wizards
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK +71.6% EV
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Washington Wizards Washington Wizards -3.0
"Wizards -112 ML (MC 54.9% win vs 52.8% breakeven) in injury-riddled matchup, +3.8 EV despite model 9-24 vs Bulls"
EV / $100
+2.1
Win Prob
55%
Edge
+4.9%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Washington Wizards None
62%
TOTAL under 203.0
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 23.0% divergence on total with strong signal. RLM detected on total.
Sharp: over Boost: +2
Ω OMEGA LINE Poisson + ELO Independent Projection
Spread
-3.0
Total
203.0
Win Prob
47.2%
ML
112 / -112

Player Props Engine

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Chicago Bulls

Washington Wizards

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 215 / -260 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 215 / -252 -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 25.5 (240)
Market Consensus - - Over 246.5 (-110)
Market Consensus 6.0 (101) - -
De-Vigged Fair Value 107 / -107 236 / -236 O/U -102 / 102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Chicago Bulls

C
Collin Sexton
(G) day-to-day — Sexton is probable for Thursday's game against the Wizards due to a right finger injury.
Day-To-Day
L
Lachlan Olbrich
(C) day-to-day — Olbrich (foot) is probable for Thursday's game against the Wizards.
Day-To-Day
P
Patrick Williams
(F) day-to-day — Williams is probable for Thursday's game against the Wizards due to a left thumb sprain.
Day-To-Day
M
Matas Buzelis
(F) out — Buzelis (illness) is out for Thursday's game against the Wizards.
Out
J
Josh Giddey
(G) out — Giddey (hamstring) is out for Thursday's game against the Wizards
Out
N
Nick Richards
(C) out — Richards (elbow) is out for Thursday's game against the Wizards.
Out
I
Isaac Okoro
(F) day-to-day — Okoro (quadriceps) is questionable for Thursday's game against the Wizards.
Day-To-Day
A
Anfernee Simons
(G) out — Simons (wrist) is out for Thursday's game against the Wizards.
Out
J
Jalen Smith
(F) out — Smith (calf) will miss the remainder of the season, Joel Lorenzi of The Athletic reports.
Out
Z
Zach Collins
(F) out — Collins will undergo surgery for a sprain right toe and will be sidelined for the rest of the 2025-26 season.
Out
N
Noa Essengue
(F) out — Essengue will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network reports.
Out

Washington Wizards

J
Jaden Hardy
(G) day-to-day — Hardy (back) is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against Chicago.
Day-To-Day
T
Tre Johnson
(G) day-to-day — Johnson (foot) is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against Chicago.
Day-To-Day
T
Tristan Vukcevic
(F) out — Vukcevic (knee) is listed as out for Thursday's game against Chicago.
Out
A
Anthony Gill
(F) day-to-day — Gill (back) is questionable for Thursday's game against Chicago.
Day-To-Day
A
Alex Sarr
(C) out — Sarr (toe) is listed as out for Thursday's game versus Chicago.
Out
B
Bilal Coulibaly
(G) day-to-day — Coulibaly (foot) is questionable for Thursday's game against Chicago.
Day-To-Day
J
Justin Champagnie
(F) day-to-day — Champagnie (knee) is questionable for Thursday's game against the Bulls.
Day-To-Day
A
Anthony Davis
(F) out — Head coach Brian Keefe said Tuesday that Davis (finger) is not expected to play again this season, Chase Hughes of Monumental Sports Network reports.
Out
T
Trae Young
(G) out — Young (quadriceps, back) isn't expected to play again in 2025-26, per Chase Hughes of Monumental Sports Network.
Out
K
Kyshawn George
(F) out — George (elbow) will miss the rest of the 2025-26 season, Chase Hughes of Monumental Sports Network reports.
Out
D
D'Angelo Russell
(G) out — Russell (not injury related) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Magic.
Out
C
Cam Whitmore
(F) out — Whitmore has begun the recovery process for a diagnosed venous condition and he will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season.
Out
Game Preview
Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 25.5
Spread 6.0 (101)
Key Injuries
Collin Sexton Day-To-Day
Lachlan Olbrich Day-To-Day
Jaden Hardy Day-To-Day
Tre Johnson Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Chicago Bulls @ Washington Wizards

+2.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Washington Wizards 60% Lean
"Wizards -112 ML (MC 54.9% win vs 52.8% breakeven) in injury-riddled matchup, +3.8 EV despite model 9-24 vs Bulls"
55% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 55%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +4.9%
Line Movement
Current omega_model: Wizards -3.0 / Total 203.0 / ML Wizards -112 / Bulls +112
Movement N/A (model-generated)
Model edge on Wizards ML vs generated -112 fair line; breakeven 52.8% (our 54.9% exceeds by 2.1%)
Model: 50.1% win rate | n=419 — NBA spreads/moneylines profitable in lean tier; totals mixed; props losing lean tier
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega model projects Wizards -3 (103-100) with MC home win 54.9%, but ELO sees Bulls edge; heavy injuries both sides (Davis/Young out for WSH, Giddey/Simons/Richards dinged for CHI) cap total at 203. Recent H2H 1-2 model (Wizards ML/spread lost, under hit). Data quality degraded, cap confidence low.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Washington Wizards -3.0
+2.1 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Washington Wizards None
+3.8 EV 62% 0.5u
TOTAL under 203.0
+1.9 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 60%
Washington Wizards 900
  • Market -2500 implies 96% Bulls win but omega/MC project only 52.6%/56.7% Wizards win
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
Washington Wizards -3.0
  • Omega model projects Wizards -3.0 (103-100) vs no market spread
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 203.0
  • Omega total 203.0 with MC 49.1% over in depleted rosters game
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Wizards +900 ML has +213 EV vs -2500 market (omega 52.6% win prob, MC 56.7%) on injury-ravaged matchup
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