MLB
New York Yankees
Yankees
Chicago Cubs
Cubs
Player Props Engine
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Chicago Cubs
Injury Report
New York Yankees
Anthony Volpe
(SS)
out — Yankees manager Aaron Boone said Sunday that Volpe (shoulder) could begin a minor-league rehab assignment around the second week of April and will require the equivalent of a full spring training before joining the Yankees, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
Out
Gerrit Cole
(SP)
out — Cole (elbow) allowed two hits in one scoreless inning against Boston in a Grapefruit League game Wednesday. He did not walk or strike out any batters.
Out
Carlos Rodon
(SP)
out — Manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Rodon (elbow) is not expected to pitch in a Grapefruit League game this spring, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
Out
Rafael Montero
(RP)
day-to-day — Montero continues to have visa issues and hasn't yet arrived at Yankees camp, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Clarke Schmidt
(SP)
60-day IL — Schmidt (elbow) is tentatively slated to being throwing bullpens in March and could face hitters in April or May, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki
(RF)
out — Manager Craig Counsell said Saturday that Suzuki (knee) will not be ready in time for Opening Day, Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.
Out
Justin Steele
(SP)
out — Steele (elbow) faced live hitters Friday for the first time in 11 months as he continues his recovery from UCL revision surgery last April, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
Out
Jordan Wicks
(RP)
out — Wicks (forearm) is slated to throw off a mound next week, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
Out
Trent Thornton
(RP)
day-to-day — The Cubs signed Thornton (Achilles) to a contract Monday, Tread Athletics reports.
Day-To-Day
Porter Hodge
(RP)
out — The Cubs announced Sunday that Hodge has been diagnosed with a right flexor tendon strain and will be shut down from throwing for two weeks before being re-evaluated, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
Out
Shelby Miller
(RP)
60-day IL — Miller (elbow) was placed on the 60-day injured list by the Cubs on Sunday.
60-Day-IL
Tyler Austin
(1B)
out — Austin signed a one-year, major-league contract with the Cubs on Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Out
Brandon Birdsell
(RP)
out — Birdsell is scheduled to undergo season-ending elbow surgery, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs
+1.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Chicago Cubs
65%
Sharp Lean
"Cubs ML -115: Yankees aces out (Cole/Rodon/Schmidt) = 4.2 Pitcher Score edge to Imanaga, +1.8 EV"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
48%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-2.0%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - Early season game, no lines set
Current
N/A
Movement
No movement - pre-market
Negative EV on Yankees ML at estimated -105; Cubs pitching edge offsets Yankees offense
FULL ANALYSIS
Yankees rotation gutted without Cole/Rodon/Schmidt (avg Pitcher Score drops 4.2 pts), forcing Gil (2.0 ERA leader but 24 BB risk) into spot start vs Imanaga. Cubs home with Suzuki DTD but pen intact via Brown (17 K leader). Model projects Cubs 52% win prob, under bias from missing arms + cold Wrigley temps.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
65%
Chicago Cubs -115 (DDN_model)
- Yankees missing Gerrit Cole + Carlos Rodon + Clarke Schmidt = 4.2 Pitcher Score deficit vs Cubs' Shota Imanaga (2.0 leader)
SPREAD PICK
●
62%
Chicago Cubs
- Yankees rotation decimated (3 SPs out) projects to +1.2 run handicap per ELO adjustment
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
67%
UNDER 8.0 8.0
- Both teams missing key arms (Yanks aces out, Cubs Wicks/Hodge out) caps pace at 94 combined, +12% under bias
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Cubs ML -115: Yankees aces out (Cole/Rodon/Schmidt) = 4.2 Pitcher Score edge to Imanaga, +1.8 EV
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