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San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks
Sharks
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Anaheim Ducks
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
56% Lean
56% Lean
SPREAD
Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks -0.5
"Ducks ML +3.2 EV (54% model) Celebrini carries vs injured Sharks, recent H2H reverse home"
EV / $100
+2.1
Win Prob
54%
Edge
+4.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Anaheim Ducks None
58%
TOTAL under 6.0
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

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San Jose Sharks

Anaheim Ducks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action - -175 / 150 ↑ -
Sharp Action 2.5 (-1000) - -
Sharp Action - - Over 2.5 (-150)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

San Jose Sharks

R
Ryan Reaves
(RW) out — Reaves (hand) didn't participate in Monday's practice and is week-to-week, per Sheng Peng of San Jose Hockey Now.
Out
L
Logan Couture
(C) Injured Reserve — ir-lt
Injured Reserve

Anaheim Ducks

C
Cutter Gauthier
(LW) out — Gauthier (upper body) won't play against Nashville on Tuesday and is expected to miss Thursday's matchup against San Jose, Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune reports.
Out
R
Radko Gudas
(D) out — Gudas (lower body) remains without a clear recovery timeline but is "getting closer every day, according to head coach Joel Quenneville, Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune reports Tuesday.
Out
J
Jansen Harkins
(C) out — Harkins had hand surgery Monday and is expected to miss about four weeks, the team announced Tuesday.
Out
R
Ross Johnston
(LW) out — Johnston (lower body) is expected to miss 3-4 weeks, per Derek Lee of The Hockey News.
Out
P
Petr Mrazek
(G) Injured Reserve — Mrazek underwent season-ending hip surgery Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
San Jose Sharks @ Anaheim Ducks
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread 2.5 (-1000)
Total Over 2.5
Key Injuries
Ryan Reaves Out
Logan Couture Injured Reserve
Cutter Gauthier Out
Radko Gudas Out
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

San Jose Sharks @ Anaheim Ducks

+2.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Anaheim Ducks 56% Lean
"Ducks ML +3.2 EV (54% model) Celebrini carries vs injured Sharks, recent H2H reverse home"
54% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 54%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +4.0%
Line Movement
Open omega_model
Current Anaheim -110 / San Jose +110 | Spread: Anaheim -0.5 (-110) / San Jose +0.5 (-110) | Total: 6.0 (-110)
Movement N/A (model-generated)
+3.2 EV on Anaheim ML at model -110; breakeven 52.4%, our model 54% exceeds by 1.6%
Model: 47.6% win rate | n=307 — N=307 NHL (47.6% WR); recent H2H 3-0 Sharks perfect but reverse home game
FULL ANALYSIS
Model generates Anaheim ML -110 (54% win prob) off Celebrini (107P) edge vs Sharks missing Couture/Reaves; Ducks counter heavy injuries but home ice + recent model success vs both (12-8/12-10). H2H Apr 2 Sharks swept but now Ducks home in tight Pacific spot. Low-data game caps confidence at 55-58 despite +EV.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Anaheim Ducks -0.5
+2.1 EV 56% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Anaheim Ducks None
+3.2 EV 58% 0.5u
TOTAL under 6.0
+1.8 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
Anaheim Ducks -110
  • Macklin Celebrini dominance (107 points) gives Anaheim edge in meaning late-season Pacific matchup
SPREAD PICK
○ 56%
Anaheim Ducks -0.5
  • Recent H2H model 3-0 Sharks (Apr 2 sweep); Anaheim home ice + Celebrini (41G/66A/107P) vs depleted Sharks
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 6.0
  • NHL variance + Anaheim injuries (Gauthier/Gudas out, Mrazek IR) cap scoring in low-data projection
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Ducks ML +3.2 EV (54% model) Celebrini carries vs injured Sharks, recent H2H reverse home
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