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MLB
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +42.9% EV
53% Lean
53% Lean
SPREAD
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 1.5
"Giants +199 ML +20EV (models 40-53% win vs 29% implied), over 8 +14EV (65% posterior vs proj 20 runs)"
EV / $100
+58.3
Win Prob
40%
Edge
-9.8%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE San Francisco Giants None
40%
TOTAL over 8.0
65%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 16.3% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$1322108 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (72% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 644 trades Kalshi: 233 trades Largest: $46695
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +246.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +14.5
Win Prob
36.2%
ML
176 / -176

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

San Francisco Giants

Los Angeles Dodgers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -240 / 195 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -231 / 204 -
Value Line - -250 / 195 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (190) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (-103) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 8.0 (100)
De-Vigged Fair Value 103 / -103 -219 / 219 O/U 107 / -107
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

San Francisco Giants

J
Jason Foley
(RP) 60-day IL — Foley (shoulder) will make his next rehab appearance for Triple-A Sacramento, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
60-Day-IL
E
Erik Miller
(RP) 15-day IL — Miller (back) yielded one hit and struck out one over a scoreless frame in his first rehab appearance with Triple-A Sacramento on Sunday.
15-Day-IL
D
Daniel Susac
(C) 10-day IL — Susac (elbow) went 2-for-4 in Triple-A Sacramento's 2-1 loss to Reno on Friday.
10-Day-IL
L
Logan Webb
(SP) 15-day IL — The Giants placed Webb on the 15-day injured list Saturday due to right knee bursitis, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jared Oliva
(CF) 60-day IL — The Giants transferred Oliva (wrist) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
R
Rowan Wick
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
H
Hayden Birdsong
(RP) 60-day IL — Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Reiver Sanmartin
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Sanmartin (hip) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
R
Randy Rodriguez
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Jose Butto
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants transferred Butto (arm) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL

Los Angeles Dodgers

B
Ben Casparius
(RP) 15-day IL — Casparius (shoulder) has been throwing at the Dodgers' complex in Arizona, per MLB.com.
15-Day-IL
E
Edwin Diaz
(RP) 60-day IL — no
60-Day-IL
B
Brock Stewart
(RP) 15-day IL — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts told reporters Saturday that he expects Stewart (foot) will be on the 15-day injured list for approximately three weeks, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Tommy Edman
(2B) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Edman (ankle) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tyler Glasnow
(SP) 15-day IL — no
15-Day-IL
L
Landon Knack
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Knack (chest) to the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
E
Evan Phillips
(RP) 60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw a bullpen session to a squatting catcher March 17, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
G
Gavin Stone
(SP) 60-day IL — Stone (shoulder) has resumed throwing, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
J
Jake Cousins
(RP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers transferred Cousins (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Brusdar Graterol
(RP) 15-day IL — Graterol (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Oklahoma City on Saturday, Triple-A Oklahoma City broadcaster Alex Freedman reports.
15-Day-IL
E
Enrique Hernandez
(1B) 60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) will kick of a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Tuesday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Bobby Miller
(SP) 60-day IL — The Dodgers placed Miller (shoulder) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (190)
Total Over 8.0
Key Injuries
Jason Foley 60-Day-IL
Erik Miller 15-Day-IL
Ben Casparius 15-Day-IL
Edwin Diaz 60-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

San Francisco Giants @ Los Angeles Dodgers

+58.3 EV
per $100 wagered
San Francisco Giants 53% Lean
"Giants +199 ML +20EV (models 40-53% win vs 29% implied), over 8 +14EV (65% posterior vs proj 20 runs)"
40% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 40%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -9.8%
Line Movement
Current Run Line: LAD -246 / SF +199 (points unspecified, assume -1.5/+1.5), Total: 8.0, ML: LAD -246 / SF +199
Movement No significant line movement detected
+20.2 EV on Giants ML +199 (our 40.2% vs devigged implied 28.9%)
FULL ANALYSIS
Market -246 Dodgers ignores omega even spread 0.0, MC Giants 52.9% win (9.4-10.2 proj), Bayesian +11pp Giants ML edge to 40%. Total 8 crushed by 65% over posterior, omega/MC 20+ runs expected despite no pitcher data. Whales extreme home ($1.3M) + pred mkt 69.5% contradict but Tier1 quant >> Tier2 public signals; degraded data caps at leans.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD San Francisco Giants 1.5
+58.3 EV 53% 0.5u
MONEYLINE San Francisco Giants None
+20.2 EV 40%
TOTAL over 8.0
+13.8 EV 65% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 40%
San Francisco Giants 199
  • Bayesian posterior 40.2% vs market 28.9% (+11.3pp edge); omega Giants -176 / MC 52.9% win
SPREAD PICK
○ 53%
San Francisco Giants 1.5
  • MC 52.9% Giants cover +0 (HIGH edge conf) vs market extreme LAD pricing; omega spread 0.0
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 65%
OVER 8.0
  • Bayesian over posterior 65.2% vs market 50% (+15.2pp); MC proj 19.6 / omega 22.5
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Giants +2.2 (56% posterior vs 50% mkt, +7.5EV) + over 9.5 (65% prob, Omega 22.5 total)
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