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NCAA Women's Basketball
Alcorn State Lady Braves
Alcorn State Lady Braves
Braves
Ole Miss Rebels
Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels
Full Game Analysis
NCAA Women's Basketball
Ω DDN SI PICK
55% Lean
55% Lean
MONEYLINE
Ole Miss Rebels Ole Miss Rebels None
"Under 146.5 in an Ole Miss blowout spot — early-season mismatch games with a 31.5 spread run slow after halftime, model shows thin but positive EV"
Win Prob
54%
Edge
-0.4%
Size
0.5u
SPREAD Ole Miss Rebels -31.5
58%
TOTAL under 146.5
56%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$21289 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (99% of whale volume).
Whales: home Kalshi: 88 trades Largest: $3291

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Alcorn State Lady Braves

Ole Miss Rebels

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Value Line -31.5 (-121) - -
Value Line - - Over 146.5 (-109)
Line Movement
Open Current
Game Preview
Alcorn State Lady Braves @ Ole Miss Rebels
until tip-off
Current Line
Spread -31.5 (-121)
Total Over 146.5
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Spread: Ole Miss Rebels -31.5 (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-02T02:40:02.182163 UTC

Ability gap implies a multi-possession blowout; 31.5 is high relative to typical WNIT-tier mismatches where favorites often win by 35+ at home, but sample size on both rosters is N<5 and no price is available

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Alcorn State Lady Braves @ Ole Miss Rebels

Ole Miss Rebels 55% Lean
"Under 146.5 in an Ole Miss blowout spot — early-season mismatch games with a 31.5 spread run slow after halftime, model shows thin but positive EV"
54% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 54%
Book Implied 54%
Edge -0.4%
Line Movement
Open -31.5 / 146.5
Current -31.5 / 146.5
Movement No movement data available
Marginal positive EV on the under only; the implied probability for -117 is 53.9% and the model's weak-side total regression puts fair value slightly below the posted number
FULL ANALYSIS
A 31.5-point spread with a 146.5 total is the classic 'blowout but low-paced' profile: the price says Ole Miss projects around 88 and Alcorn State 58. Early-season non-conference mismatches routinely see favorites empty the bench by the 3-minute mark of the third quarter, which caps the winning side's scoring and keeps these totals under — the model leans under 146.5 at a modest edge, but with zero graded history in this cell (.5 WR baseline, N=0) everything here stays LEAN-tier. Total confidence with N<20 across both rosters.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Ole Miss Rebels None
55% 0.5u
SPREAD Ole Miss Rebels -31.5
58% 0.5u
TOTAL under 146.5
+5.3 EV 56% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
Ole Miss Rebels None
  • Ole Miss is a 31.5-point home favorite over Alcorn State per consensus pricing, making the ML the statistically obvious side, but no quote is available so there is no measurable price edge
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
Ole Miss Rebels -31.5
  • Ability gap implies a multi-possession blowout; 31.5 is high relative to typical WNIT-tier mismatches where favorites often win by 35+ at home, but sample size on both rosters is N<5 and no price is available
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 56%
UNDER 146.5
  • A 146.5 total paired with a 31.5 spread implies Ole Miss projects near 88 points;病学女篮-style slow early-season non-conference pace with deep bench rotations historically suppresses the winning side's output below that projection
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Ole Miss -31.5 vs Alcorn State is a buy-game spot winnable by 35+, but with no spread/ML price there's no provable EV — the only priced angle is over 146.5 at -109 on blowout bench minutes.
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