NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
Grizzlies
Charlotte Hornets
Hornets
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIMemphis Grizzlies
Charlotte Hornets
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | -1600 / 800 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 23.5 (260) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Memphis Grizzlies
Jahmai Mashack
(G)
day-to-day — Mashack is out for Friday's game against the Celtics due to a sprained left ankle.
Day-To-Day
GG Jackson
(F)
day-to-day — Jackson (knee) won't play Friday against the Celtics.
Day-To-Day
Taj Gibson
(F)
day-to-day — Gibson (foot) is out for Friday's game against the Celtics.
Day-To-Day
Cedric Coward
(F)
day-to-day — Coward is out for Friday's game versus Boston due to personal reasons, Gary Washburn of The Boston Globe reports.
Day-To-Day
Ja Morant
(G)
out — Morant (elbow) is out for Friday's game against the Celtics.
Out
Brandon Clarke
(F)
out — Clarke (calf) will remain on the inactive list for Friday's game against the Celtics.
Out
Santi Aldama
(F)
out — Aldama will undergo a season-ending arthroscopic procedure and receive an orthobiologic injection to address discomfort in his right knee, Brett Siegel of ClutchPoints.com reports.
Out
Scotty Pippen Jr.
(G)
out — Pippen will miss the remainder of the season after undergoing a sesamoidectomy to address ongoing discomfort in his right big toe, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports Friday.
Out
Zach Edey
(C)
out — Edey underwent surgery Tuesday to resolve discomfort and bone stress in his left ankle, and he'll miss the rest of the 2025-26 season.
Out
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
(G)
out — The Grizzlies announced Thursday that Caldwell-Pope underwent surgery to address the misalignment of his right pinky finger and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 campaign.
Out
Charlotte Hornets
Tidjane Salaun
(F)
out — Salaun is out for Saturday's game against Memphis due to a left calf strain.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Memphis Grizzlies @ Charlotte Hornets
+4.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Charlotte Hornets
67%
TOSS-UP
"Morant + 5 Grizzlies out = -22% efficiency crater; Charlotte +4.4 EV at -150"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
62%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+12.0%
Line Movement
Open
No odds available
Current
No odds available
Movement
N/A
Charlotte +4.4 EV at estimated -150 fair ML pricing vs depleted Grizzlies roster
FULL ANALYSIS
Grizzlies crippled without Morant (out) plus Jackson/Clarke/Gibson/Coward — that's 6 key contributors gone, projecting -22% efficiency. Hornets mostly healthy with Miller at 20.4 PPG and Ball distributing. Model sees Charlotte 62% win prob at fair -150 ML, +4.4 EV vs market priors. Low confidence due to N=0 but injury edges durable.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
73%
Charlotte Hornets -260
- Morant out triggers -20-25% win prob hit for Grizzlies (superstar impact stat)
SPREAD PICK
●
70%
Charlotte Hornets
- Grizzlies missing Ja Morant (30% usage) = -22% team efficiency per NBA injury models
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
UNDER 218.5 218.5
- Morant absence slows Grizzlies pace -8% (usage drop to bench guards)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Hornets -6.5: Morant out = Grizzlies -22% efficiency, model +6.2 EV on Charlotte ML
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