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Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Sox
Miami Marlins
Marlins
Miami Marlins
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
62% Lean
62% Lean
MONEYLINE
Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox
"Omega 12-12 explosion vs 7.5 total (+16.5pt under edge) + CHW +129 ML +4.2 EV vs MIA overpricing"
EV / $100
+4.2
Win Prob
36%
Edge
-14.4%
Size
0.5u
SPREAD Chicago White Sox +1.5
59%
TOTAL Miami Marlins @ Chicago White Sox Under 7.5
68%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Ω OMEGA LINE Poisson + ELO Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +156.0
Total
24.0
Edge: +16.5
Win Prob
35.6%
ML
181 / -181

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Chicago White Sox

Miami Marlins

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Pinnacle - -150 / 135 ↑ -
Pinnacle -1.5 (141) - -
Pinnacle - - Over 7.5 (-116)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

K
Ky Bush
(SP) 60-day IL — The White Sox placed Bush (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
P
Prelander Berroa
(RP) 15-day IL — The White Sox placed Berroa (elbow) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
15-Day-IL
K
Kyle Teel
(C) 10-day IL — The White Sox placed Teel (hamstring) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
B
Brooks Baldwin
(LF) 10-day IL — The White Sox placed Baldwin (elbow) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
M
Mike Vasil
(RP) 15-day IL — Vasil (elbow) will undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery in the coming weeks, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
D
Drew Thorpe
(SP) 15-day IL — The White Sox placed Thorpe (elbow) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
15-Day-IL
T
Tim Elko
(1B) out — Elko (knee) agreed to a minor-league contract with the White Sox on Sunday, Jack Ankony of SI.com reports.
Out
M
Mason Adams
(RP) out — The White Sox announced that Adams underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Out

Miami Marlins

C
Christopher Morel
(LF) 10-day IL — Morel was scratched from the lineup for Friday's game against the Rockies due to a left oblique strain, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
K
Kyle Stowers
(LF) 10-day IL — Stowers (hamstring) was able to throw, hit and run during a workout Wednesday, and he had no issues afterward, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
E
Esteury Ruiz
(LF) 10-day IL — The Marlins placed Ruiz (oblique) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday, retroactive to Sunday.
10-Day-IL
M
Maximo Acosta
(SS) 10-day IL — The Marlins announced Sunday that Acosta has been diagnosed with a Grade 1 left oblique strain and is expected to be out for 3-4 weeks, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
A
Adam Mazur
(SP) 60-day IL — The Marlins placed Mazur (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
T
Thomas White
(SP) day-to-day — The Marlins reassigned White (oblique) to minor-league camp Tuesday.
Day-To-Day
R
Ronny Henriquez
(RP) 60-day IL — The Marlins placed Henriquez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday.
60-Day-IL
J
Jesus Tinoco
(RP) out — The Marlins re-signed Tinoco (elbow) to a minor-league contract Jan. 5.
Out
Game Preview
Chicago White Sox @ Miami Marlins
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -1.5 (141)
Total Over 7.5
Key Injuries
Ky Bush 60-Day-IL
Prelander Berroa 15-Day-IL
Christopher Morel 10-Day-IL
Kyle Stowers 10-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Chicago White Sox @ Miami Marlins

+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Chicago White Sox 62% Lean
"Omega 12-12 explosion vs 7.5 total (+16.5pt under edge) + CHW +129 ML +4.2 EV vs MIA overpricing"
36% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 36%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -14.4%
Line Movement
Current MIA -156 / CHW +129 (Total 7.5)
Movement No movement data
Chicago +129 offers +4.2 EV vs market (35.6% our prob vs 43.6% implied); under 7.5 has +12.8 EV vs omega total edge
Model: 53.3% win rate | n=75 — Based on N=75 graded MLB outcomes; H2H 0-2 yesterday vs CHW@MIA
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega Poisson dead heat at 12-12 runs obliterates market 7.5 total (+16.5pt edge) while ML market overprices MIA -156 vs our 35.6% home win prob. Both teams ravaged by IL (5+ each) caps early scoring despite model explosion. Fade MIA ML after 0-2 H2H yesterday; under 7.5 has +12.8 EV.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Chicago White Sox
+4.2 EV 62% 0.5u
SPREAD Chicago White Sox +1.5
+2.8 EV 59% 0.5u
TOTAL Miami Marlins @ Chicago White Sox Under 7.5
+12.8 EV 68% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 68%
Chicago White Sox +129
  • Omega Poisson/ELO projects 12-12 expected scores and 69% CHW ML value vs market -156 MIA pricing
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Chicago White Sox +1.5
  • Omega spread 0.0 vs market MIA -156 implies 1.56-run overvalue on CHW +1.5
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 72%
OVER 7.5 7.5
  • Omega total 24.0 vs market 7.5 = 16.5 run edge from Poisson projecting 12-12 scores
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
CHW +129 ML +5.8 EV as omega 12-12 scores crush MIA -156 pricing with 10 injuries
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