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St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues
Blues
1 - 0
LIVE
Chicago Blackhawks
Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK +50.0% EV ALIGNED
63% Sharp Lean
63% Sharp Lean
MONEYLINE
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues None
"Blues -148 has +5.6 EV with 63% posterior vs 59.7% breakeven on 4.03 expected goals vs 1.65"
EV / $100
+5.6
Win Prob
63%
Edge
+3.3%
Size
1u
SPREAD St. Louis Blues -1.5
55%
TOTAL under 5.5
50%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 7.6% divergence on ML with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +4
Whale Activity Detected
$28943 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (89% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 10 trades Kalshi: 3 trades Largest: $18809
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
2.5
Edge: +1.0
Total
5.5
Win Prob
14.0%
ML
614 / -614

Player Props Engine

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St. Louis Blues

Chicago Blackhawks

Live Stats

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 125 / -145 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 128 / -142 -
Value Line - 255 / -335 -
Sharp Action Best Line 1.5 (-220) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-211) ↓ - -
Value Line 1.5 (-122) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 6.0 (100)
Market Consensus - - Over 6.0 (105)
Value Line - - Over 5.5 (150)
De-Vigged Fair Value -199 / 199 135 / -135 O/U 111 / -111
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

St. Louis Blues

A
Alexey Toropchenko
(RW) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
T
Tyler Tucker
(D) Injured Reserve — Tucker had arthroscopic knee surgery and will be re-assessed in six weeks, the team announced Wednesday.
Injured Reserve
F
Felix Trudeau
(LW) Injured Reserve — ir-nr
Injured Reserve
L
Logan Mailloux
(D) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve

Chicago Blackhawks

A
Andrew Mangiapane
(LW) out — Mangiapane (lower body) is week-to-week, per Ben Pope of the Chicago Sun-Times on Monday.
Out
C
Connor Bedard
(C) Injured Reserve — Bedard (shoulder) was on the ice for Monday's practice session, Scott Powers of The Athletic reports.
Injured Reserve
Live Box Score
LIVE
St. Louis Blues
Blues
1
-
Chicago Blackhawks
Blackhawks
0

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Moneyline: St. Louis Blues (-148) PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-06T15:20:44.812791 UTC

calibrated away posterior 63.0% vs market 55.4% (+7.7pp) with model 74.8% away win and Dixon-Coles 4.03-1.65 expected goals

Spread: St. Louis Blues -1.5 (+180) PENDING · Recorded 2026-10-05T00:10:16.842954 UTC

Away cover posterior 54.2% vs market 50.0% (+4.2pp) on NHL spread CONFIRMED cell with OMEGA 2.5 vs market 1.5

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

St. Louis Blues @ Chicago Blackhawks

+5.6 EV
per $100 wagered
St. Louis Blues 63% Sharp Lean
"Blues -148 has +5.6 EV with 63% posterior vs 59.7% breakeven on 4.03 expected goals vs 1.65"
63% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 63%
Book Implied 60%
Edge +3.3%
Line Movement
Current St. Louis Blues -148 / Chicago Blackhawks 124, Spread 1.5, Total 5.5
Movement No significant line movement detected.
63.0% win prob vs 59.7% breakeven at -148 yields +5.6 per $100; positive EV on away ML.
FULL ANALYSIS
Models scream Blues: MC 74.8% away win with 1.9-4.0 score, Dixon-Coles away 4.03 vs home 1.65, Bayesian away +7.7pp to 63.0%. Chicago is 0-3-0 missing Bedard (-12.6%) but Blues are more depleted (-25.0% 4 on IR), and whales are STRONG $25,490 96% HOME contradicting sharps, so it's Blues ML only at 63, pass the 5.5 total at 50/50.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp edges weak for away on ML +0.6% and spread +0.7% with no RLM; strongest sharp divergence is total under +3.4% strong signal, confirming away/low-scoring lean.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE St. Louis Blues None
+5.6 EV 63% 1u
SPREAD St. Louis Blues -1.5
+50.0 EV 55% 0.5u
TOTAL under 5.5
-1.9 EV 50%
MONEYLINE PICK
● 63%
St. Louis Blues -148
  • calibrated away posterior 63.0% vs market 55.4% (+7.7pp edge) with model 74.8% away win and Dixon-Coles away expected 4.03 vs home 1.65
SPREAD PICK
○ 55%
St. Louis Blues -1.5
  • Away cover posterior 54.2% vs 50.0% market (+4.2pp) at +180 payout drives large payout-adjusted EV with model margin -2.1 and OMEGA spread supporting multi-goal away win
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 50%
UNDER 5.5
  • No total edge: posterior 50.0% vs 50.0% market (+0.1pp over/-0.1pp under) despite sharp 3.4% under divergence and +2.9% +EV flag on Value Line under -104
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Blues moneyline at -115: injury advantage (4 out vs 1) gives St. Louis +8.7 EV in a mispriced coin-flip market
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