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NHL
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks
Canucks
Calgary Flames
Flames
Calgary Flames
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
67% Sharp Lean
67% Sharp Lean
MONEYLINE
Calgary Flames Calgary Flames
"Flames ML -155 (+3.2 EV): Demko IR = VAN backup hell, CGY 62% as home favs N=29"
EV / $100
+3.2
Win Prob
56%
Edge
+6.0%
Size
1u
SPREAD Calgary Flames -1.55
64%
TOTAL Calgary Flames / Vancouver Canucks Under 5.5 5.5
69%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

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Vancouver Canucks

Calgary Flames

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada - -168 / 142 ↑ -
Bovada -2.5 (245) - -
Bovada - - Over 2.5 (150)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Vancouver Canucks

T
Thatcher Demko
(G) Injured Reserve — Demko was placed on long-term injured reserve Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
J
Jonathan Lekkerimaki
(RW) out — Lekkerimaki underwent successful shoulder surgery Friday.
Out
F
Filip Chytil
(C) Injured Reserve — ir
Injured Reserve
D
Derek Forbort
(D) Injured Reserve — Forbort (undisclosed) was placed on long-term injured reserve Tuesday.
Injured Reserve

Calgary Flames

S
Samuel Honzek
(LW) Injured Reserve — Honzek (upper body) will not return this season, per Pat Steinberg of Sportsnet 960 The Fan on Friday.
Injured Reserve
Y
Yan Kuznetsov
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
C
Connor Zary
(C) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
J
Jonathan Huberdeau
(LW) Injured Reserve — Huberdeau (hip) was put on injured reserve Saturday, per the NHL media site.
Injured Reserve
C
Cullen Potter
(LW) out — out
Out
Game Preview
Vancouver Canucks @ Calgary Flames
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -2.5 (245)
Total Over 2.5
Key Injuries
Thatcher Demko Injured Reserve
Jonathan Lekkerimaki Out
Samuel Honzek Injured Reserve
Yan Kuznetsov Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Vancouver Canucks @ Calgary Flames

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Calgary Flames 67% Sharp Lean
"Flames ML -155 (+3.2 EV): Demko IR = VAN backup hell, CGY 62% as home favs N=29"
56% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 56%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +6.0%
Line Movement
Current CGY -155 / VAN +130 | Spread CGY -1.55 | Total 5.5
Movement No movement data
+3.2 EV on Flames ML at -155; edge from Canucks goalie injury cascade
Model: 45.7% win rate | n=35 — Based on N=35 graded NHL outcomes; reduce confidence on Flames ML
FULL ANALYSIS
Demko IR tanks VAN to ~.890 SV% backup; Flames project 2.95 GF at home (Poisson) vs depleted Canucks D (4 injuries). Total drops to 5.1 w/top-6F out both sides (Huberdeau/Zary DTTD). CGY 62% ML win rate as home chalk this range (N=29); fade Petts under 0.5 pts.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Calgary Flames
+3.2 EV 67% 1u
SPREAD Calgary Flames -1.55
+1.8 EV 64% 0.5u
TOTAL Calgary Flames / Vancouver Canucks Under 5.5 5.5
+4.1 EV 69% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 62%
Vancouver Canucks +105
  • Demko out forces Canucks to backup goalie but Flames missing Zary + Huberdeau (25% forward production); divisional underdog +3% model edge
SPREAD PICK
○ 59%
Vancouver Canucks
  • Expected score 2.7-2.9 favors Flames by 0.2; puck line value on road dog with 4 key Canucks injuries offset by Flames' forward depth loss
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 67%
UNDER 5.5 5.5
  • Combined injuries to Demko/Zary/Huberdeau drop pace-adjusted xG by 0.45; model projects 5.6 total but 22% under bias in goalie-weakened divisional games
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Under 5.5: Demko/Zary/Huberdeau out drops xG -0.45, model projects 5.6 total (+4.1 EV)
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