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Tampa Bay Rays
Injury Report
Boston Red Sox
Brendan Rodgers
(2B)
out — Rodgers recently underwent right shoulder labral revision surgery, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Out
Triston Casas
(1B)
out — Casas (knee) was able to take simulated at-bats in a minor-league game Tuesday, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
Out
Vinny Nittoli
(RP)
out — Nittoli (elbow) will undergo an internal brace procedure and miss the entire 2026 season, Ari Alexander of 7 News Boston reports.
Out
Romy Gonzalez
(1B)
60-day IL — Gonzalez will have his left shoulder injury evaluated Tuesday to determine whether he needs to undergo surgery, Rob Bradford of WEEI.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Alec Gamboa
(P)
day-to-day — Manager Alex Cora said Saturday that Gamboa is dealing with an elbow injury and will be shut down for at least three days, Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle reports.
Day-To-Day
Kutter Crawford
(SP)
out — Crawford (wrist/illness) will throw a live batting practice session Friday, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.
Out
Anthony Seigler
(2B)
day-to-day — The Red Sox acquired Seigler in a trade with the Brewers on Monday, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Hobie Harris
(RP)
out — Red Sox manager Alex Cora said Monday that Harris has been shut down due to forearm tightness, Mac Cerullo of the Boston Herald reports.
Out
Tanner Houck
(SP)
60-day IL — Houck (elbow) began a throwing program Monday with 25 throws from 45 feet, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Tampa Bay Rays
Taylor Walls
(SS)
out — Walls (oblique) will start at shortstop and bat seventh in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Tigers, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Out
Edwin Uceta
(RP)
out — Uceta (shoulder) threw a bullpen session Saturday, John Romano of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Out
Austin Vernon
(RP)
out — The Rays have shut Vernon down from throwing due to right elbow soreness, per MLB.com.
Out
John Rooney
(RP)
day-to-day — The Rays signed Rooney (elbow) to a minor-league contract Nov. 15.
Day-To-Day
Steven Wilson
(RP)
out — Wilson said Sunday that his lower back has responded well to an injection, and he hopes to be ready to make his season debut shortly after Opening Day, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
Out
Logan Driscoll
(C)
day-to-day — The Rays released Driscoll (ankle) on Friday, Ryan Bass of FanDuel Sports Network Sun reports.
Day-To-Day
Manuel Rodriguez
(RP)
60-day IL — Rodriguez will have right elbow surgery Aug. 8 to address a flexor tendon repair, and his UCL will be evaluated during the surgery to determine if any additional procedures are needed, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
60-Day-IL
Ricardo Genoves
(C)
day-to-day
Day-To-Day
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
+4.0 EV
per $100 wagered
Tampa Bay Rays
66%
TOSS-UP
"Rays home vs Bello (17 IP leader), Boston w/o Casas/Crawford = +4 EV model edge on Rays ML"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
52%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+2.0%
Line Movement
Open
N/A (preseason game)
Current
N/A (no odds available)
Movement
No movement (lines not posted)
Model edge on Rays ML at estimated -105 fair odds; marginal value in no-odds market
FULL ANALYSIS
Rays get home edge in Trop with McClanahan vs Bello's volume (17 IP already), while Boston missing Casas and Crawford hurts lineup depth. Spring unders cash 62% with these pitcher IP profiles. Model sees 52% Rays win prob vs fair -105.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
58%
Tampa Bay Rays -125 (est)
- Pitching mismatch + home opener
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Rays McClanahan home opener vs injured Sox staff — +3.2 EV model edge, 0.5u Rays ML
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