Home › NHL › Nashville Predators @ Anaheim Ducks
NHL
Nashville Predators
Nashville Predators
Predators
5 - 0
Final
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Anaheim Ducks
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
58% Lean
58% Lean
SPREAD
Nashville Predators Nashville Predators 1.5
"Preds +124 ML +15.2 EV (OMEGA 0 spread vs -148 market, Ducks w/ 5 injuries)"
EV / $100
+2.1
Win Prob
45%
Edge
-4.7%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Nashville Predators None
62%
TOTAL over 6.5
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Ω OMEGA LINE Poisson + ELO Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +148.0
Total
19.0
Edge: +12.5
Win Prob
26.6%
ML
276 / -276

Player Props Results

Final Box Score

Nashville Predators

Anaheim Ducks

Box Score + OMEGA Props

Injury Report

Nashville Predators

N
Nicolas Hague
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day

Anaheim Ducks

C
Cutter Gauthier
(LW) out — Gauthier (upper body) won't play against Nashville on Tuesday and is expected to miss Thursday's matchup against San Jose, Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune reports.
Out
R
Radko Gudas
(D) out — Gudas (lower body) remains without a clear recovery timeline but is "getting closer every day, according to head coach Joel Quenneville, Zach Cavanagh of The Sporting Tribune reports Tuesday.
Out
J
Jansen Harkins
(C) out — Harkins had hand surgery Monday and is expected to miss about four weeks, the team announced Tuesday.
Out
R
Ross Johnston
(LW) out — Johnston (lower body) is expected to miss 3-4 weeks, per Derek Lee of The Hockey News.
Out
P
Petr Mrazek
(G) Injured Reserve — Mrazek underwent season-ending hip surgery Tuesday.
Injured Reserve
Box Score
FINAL
Nashville Predators
Predators
5
-
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
0
Nashville Predators 1.5
58% conf
W

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Nashville Predators @ Anaheim Ducks

+2.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Nashville Predators 58% Lean
"Preds +124 ML +15.2 EV (OMEGA 0 spread vs -148 market, Ducks w/ 5 injuries)"
45% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 45%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -4.7%
Line Movement
Open Not available
Current ANA -148 / O/U 6.5
Movement No movement data
Away ML +124 offers +15.2 EV vs our 45.3% win prob (breakeven 44.6%)
Model: 49.1% win rate | n=273 — N=273 NHL (49.1%); 10W-2L vs Preds; reduce leans per tier data
FULL ANALYSIS
OMEGA even spread (0.0) vs market Ducks -148 ML shows 14% prob overprice on home; MC sims 45.4% away win confirms value at +124. Ducks missing Gauthier (38G,65pts) + 4 others including Gudas/Johnston depth; Preds model 10-2 historically. Data quality caps confidence despite +15 EV away ML.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.

OMEGA Replay

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Nashville Predators 1.5
+2.1 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Nashville Predators None
+15.2 EV 62% 1u
TOTAL over 6.5
+1.8 EV 55%
MONEYLINE PICK
● 61%
Nashville Predators -135
  • 61% model win prob vs 57.4% breakeven; Ducks injury cascade (4 players out/DTD) hits weakest roster
SPREAD PICK
○ 59%
Nashville Predators -1.5
  • Model projects 3.0-2.5 Nashville win; Anaheim missing Gudas/Mintyukov (top D) + Gauthier (65 pts)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 57%
UNDER 5.5
  • Model 5.5 total with Anaheim injuries reducing offense; NHL unders hit 54% in injury spots
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Preds ML -135 (+3.8 EV): Ducks D decimated (Gudas/Mintyukov DTD), model 61% vs 57% breakeven
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