Home › NHL › Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks
Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights
Knights
Vegas Golden Knights
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK +456.6% EV
65% Sharp Lean
65% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Vegas Golden Knights Vegas Golden Knights -1.5
"VGK home ML/puck w/ $633k extreme whales + 30.7% sharp spread edge + net injury +3.2%, +4.2 EV"
EV / $100
+1.1
Win Prob
64%
Edge
+14.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Vegas Golden Knights None
64%
TOTAL under 6.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 30.7% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$633120 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (72% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 170 trades Kalshi: 396 trades Largest: $11001

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Anaheim Ducks

Vegas Golden Knights

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -147 / 127 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -146 / 129 -
Value Line - -155 / 135 -
Sharp Action Best Line -5.5 (1500) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (171) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 6.5 (105)
De-Vigged Fair Value 187 / -187 -138 / 138 O/U 113 / -113
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Anaheim Ducks

D
Drew Helleson
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
R
Radko Gudas
(D) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day

Vegas Golden Knights

M
Mark Stone
(RW) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
Game Preview
Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -5.5 (1500)
Total Over 6.5
Key Injuries
Drew Helleson Day-To-Day
Radko Gudas Day-To-Day
Mark Stone Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at puck drop

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Anaheim Ducks @ Vegas Golden Knights

+1.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Vegas Golden Knights 65% Sharp Lean
"VGK home ML/puck w/ $633k extreme whales + 30.7% sharp spread edge + net injury +3.2%, +4.2 EV"
64% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 64%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +14.0%
Line Movement
Current Puck Line: VGK -1.5 (-192) / Ducks +1.5 (+160); ML: VGK -148 / Ducks +124; Total: 6.5
Movement No significant movement
net_injury_advantage_home
+4.2 EV on VGK ML at -148; spread juiced but Tier 2 confirms
FULL ANALYSIS
Extreme whale volume $633k (73% home conviction) + strong sharp 30.7% spread home edge overrides flat Bayesian 59.7% posterior. Ducks hit harder by injuries (-6.3% vs VGK -3.1%), net +3.2% home lambda boost in playoff spot. Pinnacle fair under 53% adds lean total value despite model totals WR 48.7%.
SHARP MONEY
30.7% sharp edge on spread home; ML weak away but overall home divergence
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Vegas Golden Knights -1.5
+1.1 EV 65% 1u
MONEYLINE Vegas Golden Knights None
+4.2 EV 64% 1u
TOTAL under 6.5
+1.8 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 64%
Vegas Golden Knights -148
  • Bayesian posterior 59.7% boosted +4.3pp by extreme whale $633k home (73% conviction)
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5
  • Sharp 30.7% edge on home puck line + Pinnacle fair value divergence
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 6.5
  • Pinnacle fair under 53% in neutral total market
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Ducks +1100 ML crushed value: market 98% Vegas vs our 46% home win prob (Omega Ducks -117 fav), MC even +69% under 15.5
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

SIGNAL · LIVE