MLS
St. Louis CITY SC
SC
Seattle Sounders FC
FC
Whale Activity Detected
$848947 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away
Polymarket: 159 trades
Kalshi: 166 trades
Largest: $15482
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGASt. Louis CITY SC
Seattle Sounders FC
Model Lines
MODELSpread
0.6
Moneyline
SEA -109
/
ST. 109
Win Probability
52%
-
48%
Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.
Get Daily Picks
AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.
You're in!
Already subscribed!
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
St. Louis CITY SC @ Seattle Sounders FC
+3.1 EV
per $100 wagered
St. Louis CITY SC
58%
Lean
Raw
"Institutional whales drop $836k extreme vol on St. Louis +380 ML (+20 EV vs SEA -145 overjuice)"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
25%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-25.0%
Line Movement
Current
Spread: SEA -0.5 (-150/+110) | ML: SEA -145 / STL +380 | Total: 2.5 (-110/-110)
Movement
No significant movement
+20 EV on STL ML at +380 (breakeven 20.8%, our prob 25%) driven by whale action
FULL ANALYSIS
Extreme $836k whale volume (institutional tier, 24 wallets) on St. Louis +380 ML fades SEA -145 despite Bayesian neutral at 59% home; our 25% away prob yields +20 EV. No injuries/rest/weather but long travel ~1900mi for STL (-10% adj). Poor data caps at Lean; ML underdog value prioritized.
SHARP MONEY
EXTREME whale volume ($836k from 24 profitable wallets, institutional tier) on St. Louis side at 63% whale consensus
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
62%
St. Louis CITY SC 380
- Extreme institutional whale action ($836k volume) on +380 underdog vs market's 20.8% implied
SPREAD PICK
○
58%
St. Louis CITY SC 0.5
- Whale consensus on away implies 50% cover prob vs 47.6% breakeven at +110
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 2.5
- MLS avg 2.6 goals/game with no pace data supports under 2.5 at low total
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Seattle -0.5 (-150): St. Louis >2000mi travel -15%, +3.3 EV despite extreme whale fade on away
Partner Spotlight
Want to reach bettors who use data?
partnerships@degendailynews.com21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700