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New York Knicks
New York Knicks
Knicks
Memphis Grizzlies
Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK
72% Strong
72% Strong
SPREAD
New York Knicks New York Knicks -14.5
"Knicks -14.5 (4.8EV): Grizzlies -25% net rating w/ 5 players out vs model 82% Knicks win prob"
EV / $100
+4.8
Win Prob
82%
Edge
+32.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks
68%
TOTAL Under 228.5 228.5
65%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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New York Knicks

Memphis Grizzlies

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Pinnacle - 715 / -1078 ↑ -
Pinnacle 14.5 (-105) - -
Pinnacle - - Over 228.0 (-108)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

New York Knicks

L
Landry Shamet
(G) out — Shamet (knee) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Rockets.
Out

Memphis Grizzlies

T
Taylor Hendricks
(F) day-to-day — Hendricks (finger) is listed as doubtful ahead of Wednesday's game against the Knicks.
Day-To-Day
T
Taj Gibson
(F) day-to-day — Gibson (foot) is questionable for Wednesday's game against the Knicks.
Day-To-Day
T
Ty Jerome
(G) out — Jerome (ankle) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the Knicks.
Out
J
Jaylen Wells
(F) out — Wells (toe) underwent a successful procedure Tuesday to stabilize his right great toe.
Out
Z
Zach Edey
(C) out — The Grizzlies announced that Edey (ankle) underwent a procedure Tuesday to address lingering discomfort in his left elbow.
Out
J
Ja Morant
(G) out — The Grizzlies announced Tuesday that Morant is progressing in his recovery from a UCL sprain in his left elbow and recently received a platelet-rich plasma injection, though he'll miss the remainder of the 2025-26 campaign.
Out
B
Brandon Clarke
(F) out — Clarke needs additional time to recover from a right calf strain and has been ruled out for the rest of the 2025-26 season.
Out
S
Santi Aldama
(F) out — Aldama will undergo a season-ending arthroscopic procedure and receive an orthobiologic injection to address discomfort in his right knee, Brett Siegel of ClutchPoints.com reports.
Out
S
Scotty Pippen Jr.
(G) out — Pippen will miss the remainder of the season after undergoing a sesamoidectomy to address ongoing discomfort in his right big toe, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports Friday.
Out
K
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
(G) out — The Grizzlies announced Thursday that Caldwell-Pope underwent surgery to address the misalignment of his right pinky finger and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 campaign.
Out
Game Preview
New York Knicks @ Memphis Grizzlies
until tip-off
Current Line
Spread 14.5 (-105)
Total Over 228.0
Key Injuries
Landry Shamet Out
Taylor Hendricks Day-To-Day
Taj Gibson Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

New York Knicks @ Memphis Grizzlies

+4.8 EV
per $100 wagered
New York Knicks -14.5 72% Strong
"Knicks -14.5 (4.8EV): Grizzlies -25% net rating w/ 5 players out vs model 82% Knicks win prob"
82% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 82%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +32.0%
Line Movement
Current NY -14.5 (Home +14.5 -110 / Away -14.5 -110) | Total 228.5 | ML Knicks -1100 / Grizzlies +700
Movement No movement data available
No ML value on Knicks due to -1100 price despite model prob; spread offers better EV entry
Model: 58.2% win rate | n=98 — NBA record solid (N=98); strong vs these teams specifically
FULL ANALYSIS
Grizzlies gutted by 5 absences (Edey, Hendricks, Wells, Jerome out + Gibson DTD) project -28 net rating vs Knicks rolling with Brunson/Towns/Bidges core intact. Model sees Knicks 82% win prob but -14.5 offers 4.8EV due to line value. Under 228.5 leans on Memphis offensive cratering (105 ORtg).
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD New York Knicks -14.5 -14.5
+4.8 EV 72% 1u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks
-1.2 EV 68%
TOTAL Under 228.5 228.5
+2.1 EV 65% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
New York Knicks -1100
  • Model prob 82% vs implied 89%; no value at juice
SPREAD PICK
● 68%
New York Knicks -14.5
  • Grizzlies missing Edey, Jerome, Wells (key rotation) projects Knicks win by 18.2 in Poisson model
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 67%
UNDER 228.5 228.5
  • Depleted rosters project 214 total (Knicks 116-98); Grizzlies missing size/guards slows pace -8%
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Knicks -14.5 (+2.8 EV): Grizzlies 5 key injuries project 18pt Knicks win, model total 214 vs 228.5
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