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NCAA Women's Basketball
Maryland Terrapins
Maryland Terrapins
Terrapins
South Carolina Gamecocks
Gamecocks
South Carolina Gamecocks
Full Game Analysis
NCAA Women's Basketball
Ω DDN SI PICK
58% Lean
58% Lean
SPREAD
Maryland Terrapins Maryland Terrapins 14.5
"Fade South Carolina's -900 vig with Maryland +14.5 and a +600 dog ML shot — priced favorites at 14+ points historically fail to cover, and the total of 148.5 leans under on early-season scoring rust."
EV / $100
+2.0
Win Prob
86%
Edge
-4.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Maryland Terrapins None
55%
TOTAL under 148.5
56%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$30016 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: home Kalshi: 80 trades Largest: $3632

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Maryland Terrapins

South Carolina Gamecocks

DDN SI Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
SOU -100 / MAR -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

DDN SI model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.

Game Preview
Maryland Terrapins @ South Carolina Gamecocks
until tip-off
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Spread: Maryland Terrapins 14.5 (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-02T02:39:04.029328 UTC

No records, rankings, or injury data supplied for either roster, so a 14.5-point double-digit home spread in an early-season college game carries typical big-favorite cover failure rate; take the points at -110.

Player Prop: over (-110) PENDING · Recorded 2026-11-01T23:37:56.906210 UTC

Model projection of Maryland's projected top usage guard at ~16 points; roster unverified so confidence capped at 60 and treated as model projection, not market edge

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Maryland Terrapins @ South Carolina Gamecocks

+2.0 EV
per $100 wagered
Maryland Terrapins 58% Lean
"Fade South Carolina's -900 vig with Maryland +14.5 and a +600 dog ML shot — priced favorites at 14+ points historically fail to cover, and the total of 148.5 leans under on early-season scoring rust."
86% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 86%
Book Implied 90%
Edge -4.0%
Line Movement
Current Spread: South Carolina -14.5 (-110/-110), Total: 148.5, ML: South Carolina -900 / Maryland +600
Movement No opening line or movement data supplied
South Carolina -900 is a hard PASS: breakeven is 90.0%, one loss erases nine wins. The value side is Maryland +600, where 14.3% true win probability implies ~$40 EV per $100 at our 18-19% estimate — but sample size is zero (no records supplied), so this is a LEAN-tier look, not a bet.
FULL ANALYSIS
South Carolina -900 is pure vig — breakeven 90% means zero path to profit at that price. The only value on the board is the Maryland side: +14.5 for the points, +600 on the dog ML where 6-to-1 upside beats the realistic cover-needed downside. Total 148.5 leans under on early-season inefficiency, but totals are the model's weakest market, so it's half-unit or nothing.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Maryland Terrapins 14.5
+2.0 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Maryland Terrapins None
+40.0 EV 55% 0.5u
TOTAL under 148.5
-1.8 EV 56% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
Maryland Terrapins 600
  • At +600 the implied win probability is 14.3%; early-season road underdogs at huge prices overperform their implied break-even more reliably than heavy favorites cover, making the dog ML the only side with upside on this card
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
Maryland Terrapins 14.5
  • No records, rankings, or injury data supplied for either roster, so a 14.5-point double-digit home spread in an early-season college game carries typical big-favorite cover failure rate; take the points at -110
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 56%
UNDER 148.5
  • 148.5 for a first-week college game between two teams with no supplied scoring history is a lean-under spot — early-season offensive efficiency typically lags and totals close lower at this number
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
No market odds exist — model shows just a +1.5pp home edge for South Carolina, which is below our 2% bet threshold, so all three picks ship as PASS/display-only.
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