NBA
Houston Rockets
Rockets
Chicago Bulls
Bulls
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIHouston Rockets
Chicago Bulls
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | 280 / -360 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 24.5 (170) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Houston Rockets
Steven Adams
(C)
out — The Rockets announced Wednesday that Adams has undergone season-ending left ankle surgery, per Shams Charania of ESPN.
Out
Fred VanVleet
(G)
out — VanVleet suffered a torn ACL and may be out for the entire 2025-26 campaign, Shams Charania of ESPN reports.
Out
Chicago Bulls
Jalen Smith
(F)
day-to-day — Smith (calf) is questionable for Monday's game against the visiting Rockets.
Day-To-Day
Jaden Ivey
(G)
out — Ivey (knee) is questionable to play Monday against the Rockets.
Out
Isaac Okoro
(F)
out — Okoro (knee) is listed as doubtful for Monday's game against the Rockets.
Out
Guerschon Yabusele
(F)
day-to-day — Yabusele is doubtful for Monday's game versus the Rockets due to a left ankle sprain.
Day-To-Day
Anfernee Simons
(G)
out — Simons (wrist) is listed as questionable for Monday's game against the Rockets.
Out
Zach Collins
(F)
out — Collins will undergo surgery for a sprain right toe and will be sidelined for the rest of the 2025-26 season.
Out
Noa Essengue
(F)
out — Essengue will undergo left shoulder surgery and will miss the remainder of the 2025-26 season, K.C. Johnson of Chicago Sports Network reports.
Out
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Houston Rockets @ Chicago Bulls
+4.4 EV
per $100 wagered
Houston Rockets -4
67%
Sharp Lean
"Rockets -4: Bulls -4 key players (Ivey/Simons OUT) = 62% model win prob, +4.4 EV"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.4%
Line Movement
Open
No odds available
Current
No odds available
Movement
N/A
Model estimates Houston -4 spread and -185 ML fair value vs typical market pricing
FULL ANALYSIS
Bulls gutted with Ivey/Simons/Collins/Okoro out = 4 key absences vs Houston's 2 (Adams/FVV), model drops Chicago win prob to 38% with Durant carrying 25.7 PPG load. Giddey 17/9/8 line can't offset -18pts/100 roster hit. Total projects 218 with injury-induced pace drop.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Houston Rockets -185
- Bulls injury cascade (4 key rotation players out) drops win prob to 38% vs Houston's 62% with Durant/Sengun healthy
SPREAD PICK
●
67%
Houston Rockets
- Chicago missing 4 players (Ivey/Simons/Collins/Okoro out) = -18pts/100 possessions impact vs Houston missing only Adams/VanVleet
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
64%
CHICAGO BULLS/ HOUSTON ROCKETS UNDER 225.5 225.5
- 6 combined injuries to key contributors = -15% pace projection and reduced scoring (model totals 218.3)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Rockets -4: Bulls -4 key players (Ivey/Simons OUT) = 62% model win prob, +4.4 EV
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