Home › MLB › Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves
MLB
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
Tigers
Atlanta Braves
Braves
Atlanta Braves
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +53.2% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 1.5
"Tigers +1.5 sharp play (19% edge, omega 0.0 spread) + over 8.5 explosion (65% prob, +24 EV)"
EV / $100
+12.4
Win Prob
56%
Edge
+5.7%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE Atlanta Braves None
56%
TOTAL over 8.5
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 14.2% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$1251724 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (83% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 360 trades Kalshi: 85 trades Largest: $129610
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +118.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +14.0
Win Prob
41.4%
ML
141 / -141

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Detroit Tigers

Atlanta Braves

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -128 / 107 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -123 / 112 -
Value Line - -122 / -103 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (330) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (167) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 8.5 (-106)
De-Vigged Fair Value 181 / -181 -118 / 118 O/U 101 / -101
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Detroit Tigers

J
Javier Baez
(SS) 10-day IL — The Tigers placed Baez on the 10-day injured list Wednesday with a right ankle sprain.
10-Day-IL
C
Casey Mize
(SP) 15-day IL — Mize was removed from Tuesday's game against Atlanta with an apparent injury, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jackson Jobe
(SP) 60-day IL — Jobe (elbow) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
C
Connor Seabold
(RP) 15-day IL — Detroit moved Seabold to the 15-day IL on Sunday due to left ankle inflammation, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Justin Verlander
(SP) 15-day IL — Manager A.J. Hinch said Verlander's (hip) bullpen session Wednesday was "encouraging," Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
B
Bailey Horn
(RP) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Horn (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Wednesday, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Z
Zach McKinstry
(2B) 10-day IL — McKinstry (hip) has resumed light baseball activities, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
10-Day-IL
T
Troy Melton
(RP) 60-day IL — Melton (elbow) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Beau Brieske
(RP) 60-day IL — Brieske (groin) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Parker Meadows
(CF) 60-day IL — Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said that Meadows underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a left radius fracture and will be sidelined "multiple months," Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Trey Sweeney
(SS) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Sweeney (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tyler Owens
(SP) day-to-day — Owens (hip) will begin a rehab assignment with Single-A Lakeland on Saturday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Day-To-Day
T
Troy Watson
(SP) day-to-day — Watson is scheduled to begin a throwing program Monday as he works his way back from arthroscopic right elbow surgery, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
D
Dugan Darnell
(RP) day-to-day — The Tigers announced Sunday that Darnell (hip) has been playing catch five times a week and is also taking part in a running progression, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Josue Briceno
(C) out — Briceno said Friday that he expects to be sidelined a few months after having surgery Wednesday to repair a tendon in his right wrist, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Out

Atlanta Braves

R
Raisel Iglesias
(RP) 15-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Wednesday that Iglesias (shoulder) could be reinstated from the 15-day injured list when first eligible next Tuesday, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
S
Spencer Strider
(SP) 15-day IL — Strider (oblique) will return from the 15-day injured list to start Sunday's game against the Rockies at Coors Field, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
S
Spencer Schwellenbach
(SP) 60-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Tuesday that Schwellenbach (elbow) has yet to begin a throwing program and will not make his season debut until after the All-Star break, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
60-Day-IL
H
Hurston Waldrep
(SP) 15-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss said Tuesday that Waldrep (elbow) will throw a bullpen session in about a week and could be ready to rejoin the team in June, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
15-Day-IL
S
Sean Murphy
(C) 10-day IL — Murphy (hip) will remain on a rehab assignment with High-A Rome this week, Lindsay Crosby of BravesToday.com reports.
10-Day-IL
H
Ha-Seong Kim
(SS) 10-day IL — Kim (finger) will begin a rehab assignment with Double-A Columbus this week, Grant McAuley of the Marietta Daily Journal reports.
10-Day-IL
D
Dylan Dodd
(RP) 15-day IL — Atlanta will place Dodd on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a back strain, Barrett Sallee of 680 The Fan Atlanta reports.
15-Day-IL
D
Danny Young
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta transferred Young (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
60-Day-IL
B
Blake Burkhalter
(RP) day-to-day — no
Day-To-Day
A
AJ Smith-Shawver
(SP) 60-day IL — Atlanta placed Smith-Shawver (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Friday.
60-Day-IL
J
Joey Wentz
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta placed Wentz on the 60-day injured list Tuesday with a right ACL tear.
60-Day-IL
J
Jurickson Profar
(LF) Suspension — Profar will miss the full 2026 season after the appeal of his 162-game PED suspension was denied Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Suspension
J
Joe Jimenez
(RP) 60-day IL — Atlanta manager Walt Weiss acknowledged Wednesday that he's uncertain if Jimenez (knee) will be available to pitch at any point in 2026, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (330)
Total Over 8.5
Key Injuries
Javier Baez 10-Day-IL
Casey Mize 15-Day-IL
Raisel Iglesias 15-Day-IL
Spencer Strider 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Detroit Tigers @ Atlanta Braves

+12.4 EV
per $100 wagered
Detroit Tigers 64% Sharp Lean
"Tigers +1.5 sharp play (19% edge, omega 0.0 spread) + over 8.5 explosion (65% prob, +24 EV)"
56% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 56%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +5.7%
Line Movement
Current ATL -1.5 -118 / DET +1.5 -102
Movement No significant movement
Slight +EV on home ML; stronger on Tigers RL (+46.5% cited)
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega pick'em spread vs market Braves -1.5/118 screams Tigers RL value, confirmed by 19.3% sharp edge and +46.5% EV; Bayesian ML posterior slight home lean at +1.6pp but whales extreme home. Total mismatch huge: 65.2% over 8.5 posterior w/ omega 22.5 & MC 20.1 totals. Equal injuries net zero, degraded data caps conf.
SHARP MONEY
19.3% sharp edge on spread away (strong signal), 1.7% on ML (moderate); +46.5% EV on away spread
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Detroit Tigers 1.5
+12.4 EV 64% 1u
MONEYLINE Atlanta Braves None
+2.9 EV 56% 0.5u
TOTAL over 8.5
+24.5 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 56%
Atlanta Braves -118
  • Bayesian posterior 55.7% vs 54.1% implied (+1.6pp edge)
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Detroit Tigers 1.5
  • Omega spread 0.0 vs market ATL -1.5/ -118 creates +EV on Tigers RL; sharp 19.3% divergence +46.5% EV
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 60%
OVER 8.5
  • Over posterior 65.2% vs 50% implied (+15.2pp); omega total 22.5 & MC 20.1 >> market 8.5
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Braves -2.2 +13.1% sharp edge + $393k extreme whales home = +4.5 EV despite 54.5% posterior
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

SIGNAL · LIVE