Home › NHL › Philadelphia Flyers @ Detroit Red Wings
NHL
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Flyers
Detroit Red Wings
Wings
Detroit Red Wings
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
65% Sharp Lean
65% Sharp Lean
MONEYLINE
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
"Under 5.5: Injuries cap both offenses at 4.8 projected goals (+3.1 EV) despite model 45% NHL"
EV / $100
-1.7
Win Prob
52%
Edge
+2.0%
SPREAD Philadelphia Flyers +1.5
62%
TOTAL Under 5.5 5.5
68%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Philadelphia Flyers

Detroit Red Wings

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada - -145 / 125 ↑ -
Bovada 2.5 (-850) - -
Bovada - - Over 2.5 (140)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Philadelphia Flyers

N
Nikita Grebenkin
(RW) out — The Flyers announced Thursday that Grebenkin (upper body) is slated to miss 7-10 days.
Out
T
Ty Murchison
(D) out — out
Out
R
Rodrigo Abols
(C) Injured Reserve — Abols' injury is a fractured right ankle, Kevin Kurz of The Athletic reports Wednesday.
Injured Reserve

Detroit Red Wings

C
Cam Talbot
(G) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
M
Michael Rasmussen
(C) out — Rasmussen (undisclosed) hasn't resumed skating yet and could be at least another 7-10 days away from return to the lineup, Ansar Khan of MLive.com reports Tuesday.
Out
Game Preview
Philadelphia Flyers @ Detroit Red Wings
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread 2.5 (-850)
Total Over 2.5
Key Injuries
Nikita Grebenkin Out
Ty Murchison Out
Cam Talbot Day-To-Day
Michael Rasmussen Out
Analysis starts at puck drop

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Philadelphia Flyers @ Detroit Red Wings

+-1.7 EV
per $100 wagered
Detroit Red Wings 65% Sharp Lean
"Under 5.5: Injuries cap both offenses at 4.8 projected goals (+3.1 EV) despite model 45% NHL"
52% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 52%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +2.0%
Line Movement
Current DET -135 / PHI +114 | Spread DET -135 | Total 5.5
Movement No movement data
No edge on Detroit ML; PHI +114 offers marginal value but below 2% threshold after vig
Model: 45.7% win rate | n=35 — Small sample; 1-0 vs DET boosts home confidence slightly
FULL ANALYSIS
DET home edge with 1.02 HCA but Talbot DTD and Rasmussen out cap offense at 2.6 goals projected. PHI depth hits don't kill them vs weakened DET blue line. Under 5.5 hits 54% in similar low-total NHL spots with injuries both sides.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Detroit Red Wings
-1.7 EV 65%
SPREAD Philadelphia Flyers +1.5
+1.2 EV 62%
TOTAL Under 5.5 5.5
+3.1 EV 68% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 67%
Detroit Red Wings -115
  • Red Wings home ice + DeBrincat/Raymond scoring duo (35+47 points) vs Flyers depleted forward group with 3 key outs
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Detroit Red Wings
  • Expected score 3.3-2.9 (0.4 diff) with Detroit's top leaders projecting edge in high-danger chances
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 66%
UNDER 6.0 6.0
  • Talbot out forces weaker Detroit goalie + Flyers missing 3 forwards projects combined 6.2 goals (Poisson lambda 3.1 each)
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Red Wings ML +2.7 EV: DeBrincat/Raymond edge vs Flyers injuries, Talbot out caps total 6.2 goals
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700