Home › NBA › Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
76ers
New York Knicks
Knicks
New York Knicks
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK +43.6% EV
55% Lean
55% Lean
SPREAD
Philadelphia 76ers Philadelphia 76ers 7.5
"76ers +7.5 slim +EV (Pinnacle 50.5% cover); sharp 16.7% over 212.5 edge despite model total weakness"
EV / $100
+1.2
Win Prob
74%
Edge
+24.4%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks None
50%
TOTAL over 212.5
59%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors over side. 16.7% divergence on total with strong signal.
Sharp: over Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$519035 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (99% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 38 trades Kalshi: 35 trades Largest: $55719

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Philadelphia 76ers

New York Knicks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -290 / 240 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -288 / 242 -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 21.5 (190)
Market Consensus - - Over 213.0 (-105)
Market Consensus Best Line -7.5 (-104) - -
Value Line -7.5 (-108) ↓ - -
De-Vigged Fair Value 102 / -102 -269 / 269 O/U 102 / -102
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Philadelphia 76ers

J
Joel Embiid
(C) day-to-day — Embiid (hip) is listed as probable for Monday's Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals series versus New York.
Day-To-Day

New York Knicks

J
Jeremy Sochan
(F) day-to-day — Sochan is listed as probable for Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the 76ers on Monday due to left hamstring tightness.
Day-To-Day
Game Preview
Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 21.5
Spread -7.5 (-104)
Key Injuries
Joel Embiid Day-To-Day
Jeremy Sochan Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

Get Daily Picks

AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.

You're in!

Already subscribed!

Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Philadelphia 76ers @ New York Knicks

+1.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Philadelphia 76ers 55% Lean
"76ers +7.5 slim +EV (Pinnacle 50.5% cover); sharp 16.7% over 212.5 edge despite model total weakness"
74% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 74%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +24.4%
Line Movement
Current Knicks -7.5 (Home -108 / Away -112), Total 212.5, ML Knicks -290 / 76ers +235
Movement No significant line movement detected.
FULL ANALYSIS
Knicks ML juiced to -290 erasing Bayesian 74.4% posterior edge; Pinnacle spread fair value 50.5% 76ers cover offers slim +EV vs retail. Sharp 16.7% total over divergence strongest signal despite totals' 48.7% historical WR. Extreme $519k whale volume home but favors spread fade; equal DTD injuries neutral.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Philadelphia 76ers 7.5
+1.2 EV 55% 0.5u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks None
50%
TOTAL over 212.5
+2.1 EV 59% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 50%
New York Knicks -290
  • -290 worse than -250 threshold; posterior exactly matches breakeven 74.4%, no 5% edge required
SPREAD PICK
○ 55%
Philadelphia 76ers 7.5
  • Pinnacle de-vigged fair value 50.5% 76ers cover vs retail implied 52.8%; weak sharp away signal
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 59%
OVER 212.5
  • Sharp edge 16.7% on over; Pinnacle fair 49.5% over vs retail; cross-market over lean
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Extreme $411k institutional whales 100% Knicks + 72% posterior trumps weak sharp away; +1.8 EV spread at 60% conf
Partner Spotlight

Want to reach bettors who use data?

partnerships@degendailynews.com

21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700

SIGNAL · LIVE