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LA Clippers
LA Clippers
Clippers
Indiana Pacers
Pacers
Indiana Pacers
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK
71% Strong
71% Strong
SPREAD
LA Clippers LA Clippers -8.5
"Clippers -8.5 (+4.2 EV): Pacers -25% w/o Haliburton, model 84% LAC cover"
EV / $100
+4.2
Win Prob
84%
Edge
+34.0%
Size
1.5u
MONEYLINE LA Clippers
75%
TOTAL Over 238.5 238.5
66%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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LA Clippers

Indiana Pacers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada Best Line - 305 / -410 ↑ -
Pinnacle - 312 / -386 -
Bovada Best Line - - Over 25.5 (175)
Pinnacle - - Over 239.0 (-107)
Pinnacle Best Line 9.0 (-104) - -
Kambi 9.0 (-110) ↓ - -
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

LA Clippers

J
Jordan Miller
(G) day-to-day — Miller (back) is questionable for Friday's game against the Pacers, Law Murray of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
Y
Yanic Konan Niederhauser
(C) out — Niederhauser has been diagnosed with a Lisfranc injury in his right foot and will require surgery. He's been ruled out for the remainder of the 2025-26 season, Joey Linn of SI.com reports.
Out
B
Bradley Beal
(G) out — Beal will undergo season-ending surgery on his left hip, ESPN's Shams Charania reports.
Out

Indiana Pacers

O
Obi Toppin
(F) day-to-day — Toppin is questionable for Friday's game against the Clippers due to low back soreness.
Day-To-Day
A
Aaron Nesmith
(G) day-to-day — Nesmith is probable for Friday's game versus the Clippers due to soreness in his lower back.
Day-To-Day
I
Ivica Zubac
(C) out — Zubac will miss the rest of the season with a fractured rib, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Star reports.
Out
J
Johnny Furphy
(G) out — Furphy was diagnosed with a torn right ACL on Monday and will miss the remainder of the season, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.
Out
T
Tyrese Haliburton
(G) out — Haliburton said Tuesday in his appearance on the "Mind the Game" podcast that he has resumed taking part in 3-on-3 and 4-on-4 work on the court while he continues to recover from right Achilles surgery.
Out
Game Preview
LA Clippers @ Indiana Pacers
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 25.5
Spread 9.0 (-104)
Key Injuries
Jordan Miller Day-To-Day
Yanic Konan Niederhauser Out
Obi Toppin Day-To-Day
Aaron Nesmith Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

LA Clippers @ Indiana Pacers

+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
LA Clippers 71% Strong
"Clippers -8.5 (+4.2 EV): Pacers -25% w/o Haliburton, model 84% LAC cover"
84% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 84%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +34.0%
Line Movement
Current LAC -8.5 (-115) / IND +8.5 (-105); O/U 238.5; ML LAC -425 / IND +330
Movement No movement data available
Clippers ML at -425 offers +5.4 EV with Pacers missing Haliburton (primary engine) and supporting cast
Model: 67.7% win rate | n=31 — Strong recent form (1.59u P&L last 7d); elevate on injured underdogs
FULL ANALYSIS
Pacers crippled w/o Haliburton (28% usage) + Toppin/Nesmith DTD = -22% efficiency drop; Clippers roll with Kawhi at 28.3 PPG vs depleted IND defense. Model sims 84% LAC win prob, +5.4 EV on ML despite juice. Total leans over on Clippers pace (102) + Pacers transition chaos.
SHARP MONEY
-425 ML on Clippers with Pacers decimated by injuries (Haliburton OUT) indicates sharp respect for LA's health edge despite public fade potential on short-priced fave
Recommended Sizing
1.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD LA Clippers -8.5
+4.2 EV 71% 1.5u
MONEYLINE LA Clippers
+5.4 EV 75% 2u
TOTAL Over 238.5 238.5
+2.8 EV 66% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 68%
Indiana Pacers -130
  • Pacers retain Siakam (24PPG) with Haliburton out offset by McConnell/Nembhard while Clippers lose Leonard (28PPG DTD) + Beal out = -20% team efficiency
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Indiana Pacers
  • Expected score 110-108 Pacers; Clippers road splits drop 8pts without star usage after Beal/Leonard injuries
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 71%
UNDER 218.5 218.5
  • Mass injuries both sides (Haliburton/Leonard/Beal out) project combined 218pts vs line; depleted rosters pace drops to 96 possessions
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Pacers ML +3.2EV with Siakam 24PPG vs Clippers -20% sans Beal/Leonard DTD, model under 218.5 at 71% confidence
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