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Seattle Mariners
Mariners
Chicago White Sox
Sox
Player Props Engine
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Chicago White Sox
Injury Report
Seattle Mariners
J.P. Crawford
(SS)
day-to-day — Crawford received a cortisone injection in his injured shoulder Wednesday, and manager Dan Wilson said it's unclear if the shortstop will be ready to play in the March 26 season opener versus the Guardians, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
Day-To-Day
Bryce Miller
(SP)
out — Miller (oblique) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
Out
Brennen Davis
(CF)
day-to-day — Davis was removed from Satuday's Cactus League game against the Angels due to left hamstring tightness, Tim Booth of The Seattle Times reports.
Day-To-Day
Miles Mastrobuoni
(3B)
day-to-day — Mastrobuoni went 2-for-2 with a double and a grand slam in Saturday's Cactus League matchup with the Giants.
Day-To-Day
Logan Evans
(SP)
60-day IL — Evans underwent UCL reconstruction surgery with an internal brace Jan. 23 on his right elbow.
60-Day-IL
Chicago White Sox
Kyle Teel
(C)
out — Teel (hamstring) was able to perform light sprints and hitting Friday and has "no pain or stretch" while catching, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Out
Brooks Baldwin
(LF)
day-to-day — Baldwin (elbow) has yet to resume throwing, MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Mike Vasil
(RP)
out — Vasil (elbow) will undergo season-ending Tommy John surgery in the coming weeks, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
Out
Drew Thorpe
(SP)
out — Thorpe (elbow) is scheduled to throw his fifth bullpen session of the spring at some point this week, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Out
Prelander Berroa
(RP)
out — Berroa (elbow) has thrown off a mound three times so far as he continues his rehab from Tommy John surgery, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Out
Tim Elko
(1B)
out — Elko (knee) agreed to a minor-league contract with the White Sox on Sunday, Jack Ankony of SI.com reports.
Out
Ky Bush
(SP)
out — The White Sox placed Bush (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Monday.
Out
Mason Adams
(RP)
out — The White Sox announced that Adams underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Seattle Mariners @ Chicago White Sox
+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Seattle Mariners
66%
TOSS-UP
"SEA ML +4.2 EV: White Sox 5 pitchers out vs Mariners missing just Miller, model 58% win prob"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
58%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+8.0%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - early season game
Current
N/A - no books open yet
Movement
N/A
Model fair ML -125 SEA vs typical -110 market pricing = +4.2 EV
FULL ANALYSIS
White Sox pitching staff gutted with Bush/Thorpe/Berroa/Ky Bush out forces Hancock (1GS, 21% K%) into spot start vs Mariners depth. SEA day-to-days (Crawford/Davis) minor vs CHW's 5-man injury hole. Model projects 58% SEA win prob, +4.2 EV at fair -125. Under 8 leans on cold Chicago March + depleted rotations.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
65%
Seattle Mariners -120 (DDN_model)
- Mariners superior MLB roster depth vs White Sox rebuilding core, even in spring training
SPREAD PICK
●
62%
Seattle Mariners
- Seattle's MLB-proven starters likely overmatch CWS spring arms like Anthony Kay (15 ER early)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
60%
CHICAGO WHITE SOX — UNDER 8.5 8.5
- Spring training unders hit 58% (N>500); depleted pitching staffs limit scoring
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Mariners ML edge (+4.2 EV) from superior roster vs injured Sox staff; spring unders 58% historical
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