Serie A
Pisa
Pisa
Cremonese
Cremonese
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAPisa
Cremonese
ELO Model Lines
MODELSpread
0.6
Moneyline
CRE -108
/
PIS 108
Win Probability
52%
-
48%
ELO model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.
Get Daily Picks
AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.
You're in!
Already subscribed!
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Pisa @ Cremonese
+-2.6 EV
per $100 wagered
Cremonese
55%
Lean
OMEGA model sees no actionable edge on this game. Cremonese 59.2% posterior = -145 breakeven (0 EV); in low-data spot
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
59%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+9.2%
Line Movement
Current
Cremonese -0.5 (-155)/Pisa +0.5 (+110); ML Cremonese -145/Pisa +370; Total 2.5 (-110)
Movement
No significant line movement detected.
FULL ANALYSIS
Bayesian posterior pegs Cremonese win at 59.2%, exactly matching -145 ML breakeven with 0% edge. No injuries, rest, travel, or sharp signals; line stable amid poor data (24% signals). Totals avoided given 46.7% lean WR and no pace/posterior.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
59%
Cremonese -145
- Bayesian posterior fuses to 59.2% home win matching exact breakeven on -145
SPREAD PICK
○
55%
Cremonese -0.5
- Posterior 59% home cover prob aligns with ML win model but juicier spread pricing
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
UNDER 2.5
- Serie B low-scoring bias with no pace data; totals historically losing across tiers
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Cremonese 59.2% posterior = -145 breakeven (0 EV); pass in low-data spot
Partner Spotlight
Want to reach bettors who use data?
partnerships@degendailynews.com21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700