Home › Bundesliga › FC Cologne @ Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga
FC Cologne
FC Cologne
Cologne
Eintracht Frankfurt
Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Full Game Analysis
Bundesliga
Ω OMEGA PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5
"Frankfurt ML -110 (+3.2 EV): 10-8-9 home team undervalued vs 6-8-13 Cologne road dogs"
EV / $100
+2.8
Win Prob
55%
Edge
+5.0%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Eintracht Frankfurt None
63%
TOTAL under 2.5
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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FC Cologne

Eintracht Frankfurt

Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
EIN -100 / FC -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.

Game Preview
FC Cologne @ Eintracht Frankfurt
until kickoff
Analysis starts at kickoff

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

FC Cologne @ Eintracht Frankfurt

+2.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Eintracht Frankfurt 60% Lean
"Frankfurt ML -110 (+3.2 EV): 10-8-9 home team undervalued vs 6-8-13 Cologne road dogs"
55% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 55%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +5.0%
Line Movement
Open No open line data
Current Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5 (-115) / FC Cologne +0.5 (-120); ML Frankfurt -110 / Cologne +260; Total 2.5
Movement No movement data
+3.2 EV on Frankfurt ML at -110; breakeven 52.4% vs our 55% model prob
FULL ANALYSIS
Frankfurt's 10-8-9 record crushes Cologne's 6-8-13, projecting 55% home win vs -110 implied 52%; ML offers +3.2 EV with calibration favoring moneylines. Total 2.5 models under at 2.4 goals in low-data Bundesliga spot. Props lean under for Cologne creators vs Frankfurt D.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5
+2.8 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Eintracht Frankfurt None
+3.2 EV 63% 1u
TOTAL under 2.5
+1.9 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 66%
Eintracht Frankfurt 105
  • Breakeven 51.2% vs our 54% prob; Frankfurt home strength + leaders outperform Cologne
SPREAD PICK
● 64%
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5
  • Home team leaders Chaïbi (8 assists) and Burkardt (9 goals in 15) drive edge vs Cologne's weaker attack
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 58%
UNDER 2.5
  • Bundesliga totals losing across tiers; low total line fits tight matchup
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Frankfurt ML +5.4 EV (54% model vs 51% implied); Burkardt 9G/15M drives home win prob
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