NHL
Colorado Avalanche
Avalanche
Chicago Blackhawks
Blackhawks
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAIColorado Avalanche
Chicago Blackhawks
Betting Odds Comparison
| Source | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | - | 220 / -270 ↑ | - |
| Bovada | 2.5 (-200) | - | - |
| Bovada | - | - | Over 3.5 (-150) |
Line Movement
Open
Current
Injury Report
Colorado Avalanche
Ross Colton
(C)
day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
Logan O'Connor
(RW)
Injured Reserve — Head coach Jared Bednar said Sunday that O'Connor (hip) is progressing in his recovery and could return to game action soon, Aarif Deen of Colorado Hockey Now reports.
Injured Reserve
Gabriel Landeskog
(LW)
out — Landeskog (lower body) is week-to-week and won't play against Minnesota on Sunday.
Out
Artturi Lehkonen
(LW)
out — Lehkonen (upper body) is considered week-to-week, Evan Rawal of the Denver Gazette reports.
Out
Chicago Blackhawks
Sacha Boisvert
(C)
out — Boisvert's visa paperwork hasn't been completed, so he will miss Thursday's game versus the Wild, but the Blackhawks are hoping he can make his NHL debut Friday against the Avalanche, Vinnie Parise of The Hockey News reports.
Out
Oliver Moore
(C)
out — Head coach Jeff Blashill said Monday that Moore will miss a significant amount of time due to a lower-body injury, Charlie Roumeliotis of WGN Radio reports.
Out
Ryan Ellis
(D)
Injured Reserve — Ellis (back) and his contract have been traded to Chicago from San Jose, along with Jake Furlong and a 2028 fourth-round pick in exchange for Laurent Brossoit, Nolan Allan and a 2028 seventh-round pick Thursday.
Injured Reserve
Shea Weber
(D)
Injured Reserve — ir-lt
Injured Reserve
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Colorado Avalanche @ Chicago Blackhawks
+3.6 EV
per $100 wagered
Chicago Blackhawks
66%
TOSS-UP
"Chicago +220 ML: Avs missing Landeskog/Lehkonen vs Bedard Hawks, +3.6 EV on NHL dog inefficiency"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
68%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+18.0%
Line Movement
Current
COL -270 ML / CHI +220 ML / O/U 6.5
Movement
No movement data
No edge on ML favorite; Chicago ML offers +EV at +220
FULL ANALYSIS
Avs -270 is overpriced with 4 key injuries including Landeskog/Lehkonen; Chicago home with Bedard (65 pts) offers dog value in NHL's 44% underdog hit rate. Total 6.5 projects under with depleted offenses (NHL avg 5.9). Low confidence due to N=0 model but injuries create situational edge.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
68%
Colorado Avalanche -180 (fair model)
- MacKinnon (111 pts) dominates vs depleted Hawks with Bedard (64 pts) as lone threat
SPREAD PICK
●
65%
Colorado Avalanche
- NHL lower-scoring variance favors chalk covers when star differential >40 pts (MacKinnon 111 vs Bertuzzi 28)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
62%
UNDER 6.0 6.0 (-110 fair)
- Injury-depleted rosters (8 combined players out) suppress scoring; NHL avg drops 0.8 goals per 4+ absences
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
MacKinnon 111 pts vs depleted Hawks (4 IR), model +8.4 EV on Avs ML at -180 fair
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