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MLB
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
Phillies
San Francisco Giants
Giants
San Francisco Giants
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +47.3% EV
64% Sharp Lean
64% Sharp Lean
SPREAD
San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants None
"Giants spread +245 offers 47% EV from 19% sharp divergence vs overjuiced PHI -136, MC even matchup"
EV / $100
+47.3
Win Prob
46%
Edge
-4.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE San Francisco Giants None
60%
TOTAL over 8.0
58%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors away side. 19.1% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: away Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$8307 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong home consensus (99% of whale volume).
Whales: home Polymarket: 5 trades Kalshi: 7 trades Largest: $1899
Ω OMEGA LINE Poisson + ELO Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +136.0
Total
24.0
Edge: +16.0
Win Prob
28.1%
ML
256 / -256

Player Props Engine

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Philadelphia Phillies

San Francisco Giants

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - 114 / -136 ↑ -
Market Consensus - 119 / -131 -
Sharp Action Best Line 3.0 (-350) - -
Market Consensus 1.5 (-142) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 8.5 (-103)
De-Vigged Fair Value -134 / 134 125 / -125 O/U 104 / -104
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Philadelphia Phillies

J
J.T. Realmuto
(C) day-to-day — Realmuto was removed from Tuesday's game against the Giants with a bruised right foot, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
A
Alec Bohm
(3B) day-to-day — Manager Rob Thomson said Bohm exited Monday's game due to groin tightness, Lochlahn March of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
Day-To-Day
Z
Zack Wheeler
(SP) 15-day IL — Phillies manager Rob Thomson said Saturday that Wheeler (shoulder) will continue his rehab assignment Wednesday with Triple-A Lehigh Valley and will make another minor-league start after that, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Aidan Miller
(SS) day-to-day — Phillies manager Rob Thomson said Tuesday that Miller (back) has increased his rehab activities but is not yet swinging a bat, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
D
Daniel Robert
(RP) day-to-day — Robert suffered a cardiac incident Sunday while preparing to throw a bullpen session and was taken to a local hospital, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
K
Keaton Anthony
(1B) day-to-day — Anthony suffered a fractured toe after fouling a ball off his foot during Monday's Grapefruit League game versus the Red Sox, Lochlahn March of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
Day-To-Day
A
Andrew Bechtold
(3B) day-to-day — Bechtold signed a minor-league contract with the Blue Jays on Dec. 1.
Day-To-Day
M
Max Lazar
(RP) 15-day IL — Phillies manager Rob Thomson said Tuesday that Lazar is dealing with a "mild" oblique injury and is returning to big-league camp to be evaluated, Jayson Stark of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Johan Rojas
(CF) Suspension — MLB announced Monday that Rojas has been suspended 80 games for violating the league's policy against performance-enhancing drugs, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
suspension
M
Michael Mercado
(RP) day-to-day — The Phillies reassigned Mercado (shoulder) to minor-league camp Thursday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
M
Mark Kolozsvary
(C) day-to-day — Kolozsvary (undisclosed) agreed to a minor-league contract with the Phillies on Friday that includes an invitation to spring training, Will Sammon of The Athletic reports.
Day-To-Day
C
Christian McGowan
(RP) out — McGowan will miss the remainder of the season following Tommy John surgery, Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com reports.
Out

San Francisco Giants

J
Jason Foley
(RP) 60-day IL — Foley (shoulder) is scheduled to throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Joel Peguero
(RP) 15-day IL — Peguero (hamstring) will start a rehab assignment with Triple-A Sacramento on Tuesday, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jose Butto
(RP) 15-day IL — Butto will miss the next 2-4 months after undergoing surgery Saturday to remove a blood clot from his right arm, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
15-Day-IL
S
Sam Hentges
(RP) 15-day IL — Hentges (knee/shoulder) threw 20 pitches during his live batting practice in Arizona on Monday, Shayna Rubin of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
15-Day-IL
H
Hayden Birdsong
(RP) 60-day IL — Birdsong underwent successful UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Reiver Sanmartin
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Sanmartin (hip) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
P
Parks Harber
(3B) out — The Giants announced Wednesday that Harber has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 right hamstring strain and will require 4-to-6 weeks of recovery time, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
Out
R
Rowan Wick
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Randy Rodriguez
(RP) 60-day IL — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread 3.0 (-350)
Total Over 8.5
Key Injuries
J.T. Realmuto Day-To-Day
Alec Bohm Day-To-Day
Jason Foley 60-Day-IL
Joel Peguero 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Philadelphia Phillies @ San Francisco Giants

+47.3 EV
per $100 wagered
San Francisco Giants 64% Sharp Lean
"Giants spread +245 offers 47% EV from 19% sharp divergence vs overjuiced PHI -136, MC even matchup"
46% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 46%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -4.0%
Line Movement
Current PHI -136 ML / Total 8.0
Movement No movement data
Negative EV on PHI ML at -136 vs our 46% prob; massive +47% EV on Giants spread +245 per +EV analysis
Model: 52.3% win rate | n=352 — MLB 52.3% N=352; Lean/Sharp Lean overconfident; favor ML where profitable
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharp 19.1% spread divergence on Giants +245 (47% EV vs Pinnacle fair 43%) with MC even matchup 46-46 despite PHI -136 juice. Omega total 24 anomaly vs market 8 but totals losing across tiers (42-52%). Phillies day-to-day Bohm/Realmuto + Giants IL depth but Oracle suppresses PHI power (Schwarber under HR). Yesterday H2H PHI won ML/spread but under lost.
SHARP MONEY
19.1% sharp edge on spread favoring Giants (away), strong signal from Pinnacle divergence vs retail
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD San Francisco Giants None
+47.3 EV 64% 1u
MONEYLINE San Francisco Giants None
+3.1 EV 60% 0.5u
TOTAL over 8.0
+1.8 EV 58%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
San Francisco Giants 101
  • Breakeven 49.8% vs our 46% Giants win prob too close but sharp 0.7% edge + MC 46.7% home win
SPREAD PICK
● 60%
San Francisco Giants 1.5
  • Omega spread 0.0 vs market -1.5 Phillies shows Giants undervalued by 1.5 pts in MC sims (46.7% home cover)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 8.0
  • Oracle Park + pitcher-friendly conditions despite Omega total 24.0 anomaly; MC under 48.1%
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Giants +1.5: Omega even spread vs -1.5 market line (+1.8 EV), MC 46.7% cover
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