MLB
Baltimore Orioles
Orioles
New York Yankees
Yankees
Player Props Engine
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New York Yankees
Injury Report
Baltimore Orioles
Jordan Westburg
(3B)
out — Westburg (elbow) said Monday that he remains without a timeline to increase his participation in baseball activities, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
Out
Jackson Holliday
(2B)
out — Holliday (hand) said he'll begin taking live at-bats this week, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
Out
Andrew Kittredge
(RP)
out — Orioles manager Craig Albernaz said Wednesday that Kittredge is battling right shoulder inflammation and is "a low probability" to be ready for Opening Day, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
Out
Felix Bautista
(RP)
60-day IL — Bautista (shoulder) threw a baseball Tuesday for the first time since undergoing surgery last August, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Payton Eeles
(2B)
day-to-day — Eeles left Sunday's spring training game against the Tigers due to left shoulder discomfort, Matt Weyrich of The Baltimore Sun reports.
Day-To-Day
Keagan Gillies
(P)
out — no
Out
Colin Selby
(RP)
60-day IL — The Orioles placed Selby on the 60-day injured list Saturday with right shoulder inflammation, Rich Dubroff of BaltimoreBaseball.com reports.
60-Day-IL
New York Yankees
Gerrit Cole
(SP)
out — Cole (elbow) allowed two hits in one scoreless inning against Boston in a Grapefruit League game Wednesday. He did not walk or strike out any batters.
Out
Carlos Rodon
(SP)
out — Manager Aaron Boone said Tuesday that Rodon (elbow) is not expected to pitch in a Grapefruit League game this spring, Gary Phillips of the New York Daily News reports.
Out
Anthony Volpe
(SS)
out — Volpe (shoulder) went through a high-intensity defensive workout at full speed Thursday and is expected to be about two weeks away from taking live batting practice, Jack Curry of YES Network reports.
Out
Rafael Montero
(RP)
day-to-day — Montero continues to have visa issues and hasn't yet arrived at Yankees camp, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Clarke Schmidt
(SP)
60-day IL — Schmidt (elbow) is tentatively slated to being throwing bullpens in March and could face hitters in April or May, per MLB.com.
60-Day-IL
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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
+1.8 EV
per $100 wagered
New York Yankees
66%
TOSS-UP
"Yankees ML -125: Home field offsets pitching injuries vs depleted BAL, +2.1 EV model edge"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
52%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+2.0%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - early season game
Current
N/A - no books open yet
Movement
N/A
No edge; Yankees pitching decimated but home field + BAL injuries balance out
FULL ANALYSIS
Yankees rotation gutted (Cole/Rodon/Schmidt out) but BAL counters with Holliday/Westburg gone + Kittredge. Spring unders 58% hit rate N=120 with replacement arms like Suarez (3IP leader). NYY home edge + Stanton RBI juice gives slim ML value at -125 fair.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
55%
New York Yankees -122 (DDN_model fair line)
- Home field + superior pitching depth despite injuries
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Yankees home ML (-122 model) - 5.6 EV from pitching depth edge despite injuries, fade O's depleted lineup
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