Home › MLB › Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays
MLB
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels
Angels
0 - 2
Final
Toronto Blue Jays
Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
60% Lean
60% Lean
SPREAD
Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 1.5
"Angels +1.5 run line +8.5 EV (omega 0.0 spread, fair 59.8% cover) + extreme whale $415k away vs TOR -1.5 juice"
EV / $100
+8.5
Win Prob
45%
Edge
-4.9%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Angels None
45%
TOTAL over 7.5
60%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Ω OMEGA LINE OMEGA Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +163.0
Total
22.5
Edge: +15.0
Win Prob
37.4%
ML
167 / -167

Player Props Results

Final Box Score

Los Angeles Angels

Toronto Blue Jays

Box Score + OMEGA Props

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -160 / 134 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -149 / 137 -
Value Line - -167 / 135 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (275) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (138) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 7.5 (101)
De-Vigged Fair Value 146 / -146 -143 / 143 O/U 107 / -107
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Los Angeles Angels

L
Logan O'Hoppe
(C) 10-day IL — O'Hoppe (wrist) began catching off a machine, hitting on the field and running the bases Friday, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
T
Travis d'Arnaud
(C) 10-day IL — The Angels placed d'Arnaud on the 10-day injured list Friday with right foot plantar fasciitis.
10-Day-IL
B
Ben Joyce
(RP) 15-day IL — Joyce (shoulder) will begin a rehab assignment at Single-A Rancho Cucamonga on Wednesday, Taylor Blake Ward of TheSportingTribune.com reports.
15-Day-IL
R
Robert Stephenson
(RP) 60-day IL — The Angels announced that Stephenson underwent ligament and flexor repair surgery on his right elbow Wednesday and is likely to miss the remainder of the season, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
G
Grayson Rodriguez
(SP) 15-day IL — Rodriguez (shoulder) is scheduled to throw up to five innings during a rehab start in the rookie-level Arizona Complex League on Tuesday, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
Y
Yusei Kikuchi
(SP) 15-day IL — Kikuchi (shoulder) will be shut down from throwing for 3-to-4 weeks, Alden Gonzalez of ESPN.com reports.
15-Day-IL
R
Ryan Johnson
(SP) 15-day IL — Johnson (hamstring/illness) will begin a rehab assignment at Single-A Rancho Cucamonga on Sunday, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Anthony Rendon
(3B) 60-day IL — The Angels placed Rendon (hip) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday.
60-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

S
Shane Bieber
(SP) 60-day IL — Bieber (elbow) will face live hitters Tuesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
60-Day-IL
N
Nathan Lukes
(RF) 10-day IL — Lukes (hamstring) has begun a running progression, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
10-Day-IL
A
Addison Barger
(RF) 10-day IL — Manager John Schneider said Barger (ankle) is traveling to Toronto on Friday and will "most likely" be activated off the injured list Saturday, Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
10-Day-IL
M
Max Scherzer
(SP) 15-day IL — Scherzer was given a cortisone shot in his injured right forearm and will be shut down from throwing for five days, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jose Berrios
(SP) 15-day IL — Blue Jays manager John Schneider said Friday that an MRI on Berrios' right elbow showed inflammation and "small changes to that initial injury with the elbow," Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports.
15-Day-IL
G
Geovanny Jesus Planchart
(C) day-to-day — no
Day-To-Day
C
Chay Yeager
(RP) day-to-day — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Day-To-Day
A
Anthony Santander
(RF) 60-day IL — Toronto transferred Santander (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Sunday.
60-Day-IL
C
CJ Stubbs
(C) day-to-day — The Blue Jays signed Stubbs to a minor-league contract Friday that includes an invitation to spring training.
Day-To-Day
L
Lazaro Estrada
(RP) 15-day IL — The Blue Jays placed Estrada on the MLB 15-day injured list April 5 with a right shoulder impingement, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Javen Coleman
(P) day-to-day — no
Day-To-Day
C
Cody Ponce
(SP) 60-day IL — Ponce underwent surgery Friday to repair the ACL in his right knee, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Bowden Francis
(SP) 60-day IL — The Blue Jays placed Francis (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
Y
Yimi Garcia
(RP) 60-day IL — Garcia (elbow) is expected to begin a rehab assignment in the rookie-level Florida Complex League as soon as Friday, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
A
Alejandro Kirk
(C) 10-day IL — Kirk (thumb) is expected to begin hitting this weekend, Brian Murphy of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
Box Score
FINAL
Los Angeles Angels
Angels
0
-
Toronto Blue Jays
Jays
2
Los Angeles Angels 1.5
60% conf
L

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays

+8.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Angels 60% Lean
"Angels +1.5 run line +8.5 EV (omega 0.0 spread, fair 59.8% cover) + extreme whale $415k away vs TOR -1.5 juice"
45% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 45%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -4.9%
Line Movement
Open Not available
Current TOR -1.5 -163 / LAA +1.5 +137 (est) | Total 7.5 | ML TOR -163 / LAA +135
Movement No significant movement
+7.1pp edge on LAA ML; value vs -163 home juice
FULL ANALYSIS
Bayesian edge +7.1pp Angels ML (posterior 45.1% vs 38% implied) confirmed by extreme whale $415k away and omega spread 0.0; total over crushed with 65.2% posterior but cap at 60 due MLB totals 47.5% lean WR and 50F under bias. Sharp split (ML away, spread home) but +EV away run line 59.8% fair cover. Cease (3.05 ERA) edge offset by Detmers lambda +1.4%, equal injuries.
SHARP MONEY
ML sharp edge 1.5% away moderate; spread sharp home strong but outweighed by whale extreme away
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.

OMEGA Replay

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Los Angeles Angels 1.5
+8.5 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Los Angeles Angels None
+6.0 EV 45% 0u
TOTAL over 7.5
+18.5 EV 60% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 45%
Los Angeles Angels 135
  • Bayesian posterior 45.1% vs market 38.0% (+7.1pp edge); whale extreme $415k away
SPREAD PICK
○ 60%
Los Angeles Angels 1.5
  • Omega spread 0.0 vs market -1.5; +EV analysis fair away cover 59.8%
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 60%
OVER 7.5
  • Bayesian over posterior 65.2% (+15.2pp edge); omega total 22.5 vs market 7.5
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Angels ML +9.2 EV vs Kalshi (+6pp edge), extreme $307k whales + MC away cover (47.7%)
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