NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
Pelicans
New York Knicks
Knicks
New York Knicks
Full Game Analysis
NBA
Ω OMEGA PICK
68% Strong
68% Strong
SPREAD
New Orleans Pelicans New Orleans Pelicans +9.5
"Pelicans +9.5 (EV +2.8): Knicks 3 backcourt injuries vs Murphy/Murray scoring, model 224.8 total (-7pts)"
EV / $100
+2.8
Win Prob
72%
Edge
+22.0%
Size
1u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks
65%
TOTAL Under 231.5 231.5
67%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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New Orleans Pelicans

New York Knicks

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada Best Line - -410 / 305 -
Pinnacle - -394 / 317 -
Bovada Best Line - - Over 25.5 (240)
Pinnacle - - Over 231.5 (-108)
Pinnacle Best Line -8.5 (-113) - -
Kambi -8.5 (-115) - -
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

New Orleans Pelicans

B
Bryce McGowens
(G) out — McGowens (toe) is out for Tuesday's game against New York.
Out

New York Knicks

L
Landry Shamet
(G) out — Shamet (knee) has been ruled out for Tuesday's game against the Pelicans.
Out
K
Kevin McCullar Jr.
(G) day-to-day — McCullar (calf) played two minutes in Wednesday's 134-127 double-overtime win over the Nuggets, recording zero points (0-1 FG), two assists and one rebound.
Day-To-Day
M
Miles McBride
(G) out — McBride (pelvis) has started participating in contact drills but remains without a timeline for a return, Kristian Winfield of the New York Daily News reports.
Out
Game Preview
New Orleans Pelicans @ New York Knicks
until tip-off
Current Line
Total Over 25.5
Spread -8.5 (-113)
Key Injuries
Bryce McGowens Out
Landry Shamet Out
Kevin McCullar Jr. Day-To-Day
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

New Orleans Pelicans @ New York Knicks

+2.8 EV
per $100 wagered
New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 68% Strong
"Pelicans +9.5 (EV +2.8): Knicks 3 backcourt injuries vs Murphy/Murray scoring, model 224.8 total (-7pts)"
72% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 72%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +22.0%
Line Movement
Current Knicks -9.5 (-110) / Pelicans +9.5 (-110); Total 231.5; ML Knicks -360 / Pelicans +285
Movement No movement data available
No ML edge; spread offers marginal value on Pelicans +9.5 at 52% our prob vs 52.4% implied
Model: 100.0% win rate | n=3 — Based on N=3 graded outcomes in NBA; Knicks 1-0 in model
FULL ANALYSIS
Knicks -9.5 too wide with 3 backcourt injuries (Shamet/McBride out, McCullar DTD) forcing overreliance on Brunson (26.1PPG) and thin bench. Pelicans counter with Murphy (21.8) and Murray volume; model sees 52% cover prob on +9.5 (EV +2.8). Total projects under 231.5 at 224.8 given injury-induced slowdown.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD New Orleans Pelicans +9.5 +9.5
+2.8 EV 68% 1u
MONEYLINE New York Knicks
-2.1 EV 65%
TOTAL Under 231.5 231.5
+3.2 EV 67% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 65%
New York Knicks -360
  • Brunson 26.1 PPG anchors Knicks offense; Pelicans depth hit by McGowens out
SPREAD PICK
● 68%
New Orleans Pelicans
  • Knicks missing McBride (key bench) + McCullar DTD thins backcourt vs Pelicans' Murphy/Murray scoring duo
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 67%
UNDER 231.5 231.5
  • Knicks injuries to Shamet/McBride/McCullar reduce pace; model projects 224.8 combined (7.7pt under)
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Pelicans +9.5 (EV +2.8): Knicks 3 backcourt injuries vs Murphy/Murray scoring, model 224.8 total (-7pts)
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