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St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues
Blues
Los Angeles Kings
Kings
Los Angeles Kings
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
66% Sharp Lean
66% Sharp Lean
MONEYLINE
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
"Blues +124 ML +3.2 EV: Kings -2 key forwards out erodes 59% implied prob to 54% model"
EV / $100
+3.2
Win Prob
54%
Edge
+4.0%
Size
1u
SPREAD St. Louis Blues +1.5
63%
TOTAL Los Angeles Kings & St. Louis Blues Under 5.5 5.5
68%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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St. Louis Blues

Los Angeles Kings

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Pinnacle - -140 / 124 ↑ -
Pinnacle -1.5 (184) - -
Pinnacle - - Over 5.5 (-106)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

St. Louis Blues

T
Tyler Tucker
(D) out — out
Out

Los Angeles Kings

S
Samuel Helenius
(C) day-to-day — day-to-day
Day-To-Day
A
Andrei Kuzmenko
(LW) Injured Reserve — Kuzmenko (knee) isn't expected to return before the end of the 2025-26 regular season, per John Hoven of SiriusXM NHL Network Radio on Friday.
Injured Reserve
K
Kevin Fiala
(LW) Injured Reserve — Fiala (lower leg fracture) won't be available before training camp for the 2026-27 campaign, per John Hoven of SiriusXM NHL Network Radio.
Injured Reserve
Game Preview
St. Louis Blues @ Los Angeles Kings
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -1.5 (184)
Total Over 5.5
Key Injuries
Tyler Tucker Out
Samuel Helenius Day-To-Day
Andrei Kuzmenko Injured Reserve
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

St. Louis Blues @ Los Angeles Kings

+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
St. Louis Blues 66% Sharp Lean
"Blues +124 ML +3.2 EV: Kings -2 key forwards out erodes 59% implied prob to 54% model"
54% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 54%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +4.0%
Line Movement
Current LA Kings -148 / Blues +124 | Spread LA -148 | Total 5.5
Movement No movement data available
+3.2 EV on Blues ML at +124; Kings injuries erode home edge
Model: 47.0% win rate | n=100 — N=100 graded NHL; recent 7d -8.47u flags caution on volume
FULL ANALYSIS
Kings -148 looks overpriced with Fiala/Kuzmenko out (-18% GF projection) while Kempe carries 62-pt load but faces Blues top-12 PK. Blues road dogs 52% ML historically + model 3-1 vs STL. Under 5.5 projects sharp at 5.1 total given depleted Kings attack.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE St. Louis Blues
+3.2 EV 66% 1u
SPREAD St. Louis Blues +1.5
+2.1 EV 63% 0.5u
TOTAL Los Angeles Kings & St. Louis Blues Under 5.5 5.5
+4.1 EV 68% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 66%
St. Louis Blues +124
  • Kings missing Fiala (top line RW) + Kuzmenko reduces home favorite win rate by 8-10% historically
SPREAD PICK
● 63%
St. Louis Blues +1.5
  • NHL road dogs cover 1.5 at 68% clip (N=500+); Kings injuries cascade to Kempe overload
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 68%
UNDER 5.5 5.5
  • Kings missing 2 top-6 forwards projects -0.8 goals/game; NHL avg drops to 5.1 goals in injury spots
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Blues +124 ML +3.2 EV: Kings -Fiala/Kuzmenko = -0.8 goals, model 54% vs market 45%
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