Home › NFL › Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
NFL
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders
Raiders
38 - 33
Final
New York Jets
Jets
New York Jets
Full Game Analysis
NFL
Ω DDN SI PICK ALIGNED
58% Lean
58% Lean
MONEYLINE
Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders None
"Raiders +1.5 with OMEGA line showing +1.0 model edge, and the over 46.5 where our 50.0-51.2 total projection towers 3.5+ over the posted number."
EV / $100
-1.6
Win Prob
49%
Edge
-2.1%
SPREAD Las Vegas Raiders 1.5
62%
TOTAL over 46.5
61%
Full DDN SI Breakdown
DDN SI LINE DDN SI Independent Projection
Spread
-0.5
Edge: +1.0
Total
50.0
Edge: +3.5
Win Prob
49.5%
ML
102 / -102

Player Props Results

Final Box Score

Las Vegas Raiders

New York Jets

Box Score + DDN SI Props

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -125 / 105 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -127 / 115 -
Value Line - 900 / -2000 -
Sharp Action Best Line -1.5 (-105) - -
Market Consensus -1.0 (-119) ↓ - -
Value Line 2.0 (140) ↓ - -
Sharp Action Best Line - - Over 45.5 (-115)
Market Consensus - - Over 46.5 (-105)
De-Vigged Fair Value -114 / 114 -121 / 121 O/U 101 / -101
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Las Vegas Raiders

M
Mike Washington Jr.
(RB) active — Washington rushed 25 times for 83 yards and wasn't targeted in Sunday's 38-33 win over the Jets.
Active
K
Kirk Cousins
(QB) active — Cousins completed 19 of 26 passes for 247 yards and three touchdowns in Sunday's 38-33 win over the Jets. He added five rushing attempts for three yards and a rushing touchdown.
Active
B
Brock Bowers
(TE) active — Bowers caught seven of 10 targets for 92 yards and two touchdowns in Sunday's 38-33 win over the Jets.
Active
A
Ashton Jeanty
(RB) active — Jeanty rushed twice for nine yards while catching three of four targets for 64 yards in Sunday's 38-33 win over the Jets.
Active
D
Darien Porter
(CB) questionable — Porter (groin) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Jets.
Questionable
M
Malik Benson
(WR) out — Benson (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Jets.
Out
D
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
(WR) out — Thornton (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Jets.
Out
A
Aidan O'Connell
(QB) out — inactive
Out
J
JJ Pegues
(DT) out — inactive
Out
D
Dalton Johnson
(S) out — inactive
Out
T
Tristin McCollum
(S) out — inactive
Out
B
Bryce Cabeldue
(G) out — inactive
Out
J
Jackson Powers-Johnson
(G) active
Active
M
Maxx Crosby
(DE) active — The Raiders have no plans on trading Crosby before the Nov. 10 deadline, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
Active
P
Patrick Johnson
(DE) Injured Reserve — The Raiders placed Johnson (neck) on injured reserve Saturday.
Injured Reserve
J
Jack Bech
(WR) active — The Raiders activated Bech (forearm) from injured reserve Saturday, and he does not carry an injury designation for Sunday's game against the Jets, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.
Active
I
Ian Thomas
(TE) active — Thomas (shoulder) does not have an injury designation for Sunday's game against the Jets, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.
Active
C
Carter Runyon
(TE) Injured Reserve — Runyon (foot) has been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Jets, Sam Warren of The Athletic reports.
Injured Reserve
F
Folorunso Fatukasi
(DT) active
Active
D
DJ Glaze
(OT) active
Active
Q
Quay Walker
(LB) active
Active
J
Jeremy Chinn
(S) active — Chinn finished Sunday's Week 7 loss to the Rams with seven tackles (three solo). He also recovered a fumble.
Active
N
Nakobe Dean
(LB) active — Dean produced 12 tackles and an interception in Sunday's loss to the Rams.
Active
C
Cody White
(WR) active — White caught one of three targets for four yards in Sunday's 35-21 loss to the Rams.
Active
F
Fernando Mendoza
(QB) active — Mendoza did not appear in Sunday's 35-21 loss to the Rams.
Active

New York Jets

G
Geno Smith
(QB) active — Smith completed 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, two touchdowns and one interception in Sunday's 38-33 loss to the Raiders. He also rushed once for four yards.
Active
A
Adonai Mitchell
(WR) active — Mitchell caught seven of nine targets for 142 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 38-33 loss to the Raiders.
Active
G
Garrett Wilson
(WR) active — Wilson caught six of 12 targets for 83 yards in Sunday's 38-33 loss to the Raiders.
Active
B
Braelon Allen
(RB) active — Allen rushed 21 times for 147 yards and a touchdown while catching both of his targets for six yards in Sunday's 38-33 loss to the Raiders.
Active
D
Dylan Parham
(G) active — Parham (knee) is active for Sunday's game against Las Vegas.
Active
D
David Bailey
(LB) out — Bailey (groin) is inactive for Sunday's game against Las Vegas.
Out
T
Tim Patrick
(WR) out — Patrick (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's game versus the Raiders.
Out
N
Nahshon Wright
(CB) out — inactive
Out
M
Max Mitchell
(OT) out — inactive
Out
J
Joseph Ossai
(DE) out — inactive
Out
K
Kohl Levao
(G) out — inactive
Out
B
Breece Hall
(RB) out — Hall (quadriceps) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Raiders.
Out
T
T'Vondre Sweat
(DT) Injured Reserve — The Jets placed Sweat (knee) on injured reserve Saturday, Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reports.
Injured Reserve
K
Kene Nwangwu
(RB) active — Nwangwu was a full participant in Wednesday's practice.
Active
D
Demario Davis
(LB) active — Davis finished Sunday's Week 7 loss to Miami with three tackles (two solo) and one defensed pass.
Active
J
Jamien Sherwood
(LB) active — Sherwood totaled eight tackles (four solo) and two defensed passes Sunday in a loss to Miami.
Active
D
Dane Belton
(S) active — Belton registered nine tackles (six solo) in Sunday's loss to the Dolphins.
Active
M
Minkah Fitzpatrick
(S) active — Fitzpatrick posted 10 tackles (six solo) Sunday in a loss to Miami.
Active
I
Isaiah Davis
(RB) active — Davis logged a five-yard carry and caught all three of his targets for 49 yards during Sunday's 28-25 loss to Miami. He also added a tackle on special teams.
Active
J
Jack Heflin
(DT) active
Active
J
Jarvis Brownlee Jr.
(CB) active
Active
K
Kenyon Sadiq
(TE) active — Sadiq caught his lone target for six yards in Sunday's 28-25 loss to the Dolphins.
Active
J
Jason Sanders
(PK) active — Sanders went 1-for-2 on field-goal tries and made both of his extra-point attempts during Sunday's 28-25 loss to Miami.
Active
M
Mason Taylor
(TE) active — Taylor caught all five of his targets for 62 yards and two touchdowns while adding a two-point conversion in Sunday's 28-25 loss to the Dolphins.
Active
O
Omar Cooper Jr.
(WR) active — Cooper caught all five of his targets for 115 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's 28-25 loss to the Dolphins.
Active
Box Score
FINAL
Las Vegas Raiders
Raiders
38
-
New York Jets
Jets
33
Las Vegas Raiders None
58% conf
W

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Recorded picks and reasons

These are the saved selections and explanations from the public results record. The analysis below may have been refreshed later.

Spread: Las Vegas Raiders 1.5 (-108) WIN · Recorded 2026-11-01T16:45:41.183222 UTC

OMEGA line is -0.5 (home) vs market -1.5: a full point of swing on a near-pickem, and away form (24.9 EWMA pts) exceeds home form (20.5) despite the Raiders 2-1 road record.

Ω
DDN SI ANALYSIS

Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets

+-1.6 EV
per $100 wagered
Las Vegas Raiders 58% Lean
"Raiders +1.5 with OMEGA line showing +1.0 model edge, and the over 46.5 where our 50.0-51.2 total projection towers 3.5+ over the posted number."
49% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 49%
Book Implied 52%
Edge -2.1%
Line Movement
Current -1.5 (Home -112 / Away -108), Total 46.5
Movement unclear
De-vigged home ML (51.4% at -125) exceeds our 49.4% posterior; Jets moneyline is negative EV. Raiders +1.5 at -108 carries the underlying model edge.
FULL ANALYSIS
Market prices Jets -1.5 but OMEGA's Poisson+ELO fusion lands at -0.5 with expected scores of 25.2-24.9, and the over is the real tel — OMEGA total 50.0 and decomposed ratings 51.2 versus a 46.5 available at -104. Raiders EWMA recent form (24.9 pts/g) is 4.4 points better than the Jets' (20.5). Both sides are ugly injury-wise but the Raiders' listed outs (Benson, Thornton, O'Connell) are less structural than the Jets losing Bailey, Patrick, Wright, Mitchell, and Ossai. Grab Raiders +1.5 -108 and over 46.5 -104 at 0.5u each; skip the +105 ML where our edge is inside the vig and below the 2% margin rule.

DDN SI Replay

ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Las Vegas Raiders None
-1.6 EV 58%
SPREAD Las Vegas Raiders 1.5
+8.9 EV 62% 0.5u
TOTAL over 46.5
+12.8 EV 61% 0.5u
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 58%
Las Vegas Raiders 105
  • OMEGA posterior has Raiders at ~50.6% win prob vs +105 (49% implied), but edge is inside the vig threshold and under 2% required margin
SPREAD PICK
○ 62%
Las Vegas Raiders 1.5
  • OMEGA line is -0.5 (home) vs market -1.5: a full point of swing on a near-pickem, and away form (24.9 EWMA pts) exceeds home form (20.5) despite the Raiders 2-1 road record
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 61%
OVER 46.5
  • OMEGA total and decomposed ratings 51.2 both sit 3.5-4.7 points above the market's 46.5; momentum data shows combined recent scoring of 45.4 alone with no defense adjustment yet
About This Analysis

DDN SI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Over 45.5 at 0.5u — model total 50.0 vs a 45.5 market, a 4.5-point gap with the decomposed model agreeing at 51.2
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