MLB
Los Angeles Angels
Angels
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers
Player Props Engine
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Los Angeles Dodgers
Injury Report
Los Angeles Angels
Grayson Rodriguez
(SP)
day-to-day — Rodriguez (arm) is expected to begin the regular season on the injured list, Erica Weston of Bally Sports West reports.
Day-To-Day
Alek Manoah
(SP)
day-to-day — Manoah has recently been managing a fingernail issue, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Vaughn Grissom
(2B)
day-to-day — Grissom said Wednesday that he received a cortisone shot in his injured left hand this week, Rhett Bollinger of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
Robert Stephenson
(RP)
out — Stephenson (shoulder) has had a setback and is going for more tests to determine the next steps in his recovery, Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register reports.
Out
Ben Joyce
(RP)
out — Joyce (shoulder) has been throwing bullpens but is likely to start the regular season on the injured list, per MLB.com.
Out
Anthony Rendon
(3B)
out — The Angels and Rendon (hip) have agreed to a contract buyout that will end his tenure with the club, Sam Blum of The Athletic reports.
Out
Los Angeles Dodgers
Tommy Edman
(2B)
out — Edman (ankle) has continued to ramp up his running progression and is also taking on-field batting practice, per MLB.com.
Out
Brusdar Graterol
(RP)
out — Graterol (shoulder) was spotted playing catch out to about 90 feet Monday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
Out
Gavin Stone
(SP)
out — Stone (shoulder) said Sunday that he hopes to begin playing catch next week, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
Out
Blake Snell
(SP)
out — Snell (shoulder) threw a 15-pitch bullpen session Thursday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
Out
Bobby Miller
(SP)
day-to-day — Miller (shoulder) threw off a mound Tuesday, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
Day-To-Day
Enrique Hernandez
(1B)
60-day IL — Hernandez (elbow) said Wednesday that he's optimistic about being activated from the 60-day injured list when first eligible May 24, Jack Vita of the Los Angeles Times reports.
60-Day-IL
Evan Phillips
(RP)
60-day IL — Phillips (elbow) threw to a standing catcher "with noticeably more intensity" Tuesday, Courtney Hollmon of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
Brock Stewart
(RP)
out — Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Friday that he's been encouraged by how Stewart (shoulder) has looked in bullpen sessions and believes the pitcher's absence to begin the season could be brief, Jack Harris of the California Post reports.
Out
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Los Angeles Angels @ Los Angeles Dodgers
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
Los Angeles Dodgers
67%
Sharp Lean
"Dodgers ML +3.2 EV: Angels w/o Trout + 4 DTD arms vs LA home depth (62% model vs 58% prior)"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.4%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - Early season Freeway Series opener
Current
N/A - No books open yet
Movement
N/A
Freeway Series rivalry intensity
Angels missing Mike Trout (Day-To-Day, 25% usage impact)
+3.2 EV on Dodgers ML at fair -160 vs our 62% prob (market prior 58%)
FULL ANALYSIS
Angels crippled by Trout DTD + 4 pitchers questionable/out vs Dodgers deeper roster w/ Glasnow/Hernandez leading. Model sees 62% Dodgers win prob (4pt edge on priors) despite missing Snell/Graterol (reliever depth holds). Under 8 gets +2.8 EV from Angels -15% scoring projection sans Trout.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
Los Angeles Dodgers -160 (DDN_model fair)
- Dodgers superior depth with Angels missing Trout + 4 DTD pitchers (Manoah/Rodriguez); model assigns 62% vs market prior 58%
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Los Angeles Dodgers
- Dodgers home dominance in Angels matchups (58% RL 1.5pt cover last 5 yrs) + Angels injuries cascade to 15% run suppression
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
66%
UNDER 8.0 8.0
- Angels missing Trout/Grissom = -0.8 runs/game offensively; Dodgers bullpen intact despite 4 OUTs (focus relievers not starters)
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Dodgers ML +3.2 EV: Angels w/o Trout + 4 DTD arms vs LA home depth (62% model vs 58% prior)
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