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MLB
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Sox
Detroit Tigers
Tigers
Detroit Tigers
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK +45.0% EV
58% Lean
58% Lean
SPREAD
Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers -1.5
"Sharp spread money on Tigers but model confidence low; bet lightly if at all."
EV / $100
+5.0
Win Prob
55%
Edge
+2.6%
Size
0.5u
MONEYLINE Detroit Tigers None
55%
TOTAL under 8.0
55%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Sharp Money Signal
Sharp money favors home side. 16.4% divergence on spread with strong signal.
Sharp: home Boost: +2
Whale Activity Detected
$375899 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: home Polymarket: 84 trades Largest: $100000

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Chicago White Sox

Detroit Tigers

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Sharp Action Best Line - -230 / 190 ↑ -
Market Consensus - -219 / 194 -
Value Line - -265 / 200 -
Sharp Action Best Line -3.0 (200) - -
Market Consensus -1.5 (101) ↓ - -
Market Consensus - - Over 7.5 (-113)
De-Vigged Fair Value 107 / -107 -208 / 208 O/U -106 / 106
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Chicago White Sox

E
Everson Pereira
(RF) 7-day IL — The White Sox activated Pereira (pectoral) from the 10-day injured list Thursday.
7-day il
S
Sean Newcomb
(RP) day-to-day — Newcomb notched a save against the Royals on Thursday, allowing one hit and striking out one batter over two scoreless innings.
Day-To-Day
H
Hagen Smith
(SP) day-to-day — Smith will be shut down for two weeks after being diagnosed with a left shoulder impingement, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
Day-To-Day
K
Kyle Teel
(C) 60-day IL — Teel (knee/hamstring) will start a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Charlotte on Tuesday, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
60-Day-IL
N
Noah Schultz
(SP) 15-day IL — Schultz (knee) will begin a minor-league rehab assignment with Triple-A Charlotte on Tuesday, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
15-Day-IL
J
Jordan Hicks
(RP) 15-day IL — Hicks (lat) will begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Charlotte on Saturday, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Tim Elko
(1B) day-to-day — no
Day-To-Day
T
Tyler Gilbert
(RP) 15-day IL — The White Sox placed Gilbert on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a left shoulder impingement.
15-Day-IL
A
Austin Hays
(LF) 60-day IL — Hays has been pulled off his rehab assignment at Triple-A Charlotte due to a recurrence of left calf soreness, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
M
Munetaka Murakami
(1B) 10-day IL — White Sox manager Will Venable said Monday that Murakami (hamstring) stayed back in Chicago during the team's road trip and was given a platelet-rich plasma injection, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
10-Day-IL
J
Jordan Leasure
(RP) 60-day IL — Leasure (forearm) said Friday that he will be shut down from throwing for four weeks, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
60-Day-IL
K
Ky Bush
(SP) 60-day IL — Bush (elbow) had a setback in his recovery from Tommy John surgery and is unlikely to return until the second half of the season, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
D
Drew Thorpe
(SP) 60-day IL — Thorpe (elbow) recently underwent an appendectomy but has resumed throwing, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
P
Prelander Berroa
(RP) 60-day IL — Berroa is dealing with right elbow inflammation and will have his rehab stint paused, James Fegan of SoxMachine.com reports.
60-Day-IL
M
Mike Vasil
(RP) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Vasil (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
T
Tanner Murray
(LF) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Murray (shoulder) to the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL
M
Mason Adams
(RP) day-to-day — The White Sox announced that Adams underwent successful Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Scott Merkin of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
B
Brooks Baldwin
(LF) 60-day IL — The White Sox transferred Baldwin (elbow) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
60-Day-IL

Detroit Tigers

W
Wenceel Perez
(RF) out — Perez is likely unavailable off the bench for Wednesday's game in Houston after being struck in the face by a plyometric band in the weight room Tuesday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Out
G
Gleyber Torres
(2B) 10-day IL — Torres (side) remains out of the lineup for Wednesday's contest in Houston.
10-Day-IL
J
Justin Verlander
(SP) 60-day IL — Verlander (hip) will return from the injured list to start Sunday's game against the White Sox, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Jack Flaherty
(SP) 15-day IL — The Tigers placed Flaherty on the 15-day injured list Saturday with a left peroneal strain.
15-Day-IL
J
Javier Baez
(SS) 60-day IL — The Tigers transferred Baez (ankle) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Burch Smith
(RP) 15-day IL — Smith (shoulder) threw a bullpen session Tuesday, MLB.com reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Trey Sweeney
(SS) 60-day IL — Sweeney will undergo season-ending shoulder surgery this week, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Jackson Jobe
(SP) 60-day IL — Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Tuesday that Jobe (elbow) is expected to resume facing hitters in live batting practice "in a few weeks," Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
60-Day-IL
B
Brant Hurter
(RP) 60-day IL — The Tigers placed Hurter on the 15-day injured list Sunday due to lumbar spine inflammation.
60-Day-IL
B
Bailey Horn
(RP) 60-day IL — Horn (elbow) began a throwing progression May 14, MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
R
Reese Olson
(SP) 60-day IL — The Tigers placed Olson on the 60-day injured list Tuesday after he underwent a right shoulder labral repair Feb. 2 that will result in him missing the 2026 season.
60-Day-IL
P
Parker Meadows
(CF) 60-day IL — Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said that Meadows underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a left radius fracture and will be sidelined "multiple months," Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Josue Briceno
(C) day-to-day — Briceno said Friday that he expects to be sidelined a few months after having surgery Wednesday to repair a tendon in his right wrist, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
Day-To-Day
Game Preview
Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -3.0 (200)
Total Over 7.5
Key Injuries
Everson Pereira 7-day il
Sean Newcomb Day-To-Day
Wenceel Perez Out
Gleyber Torres 10-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

+5.0 EV
per $100 wagered
Detroit Tigers 58% Lean
"Sharp spread money on Tigers but model confidence low; bet lightly if at all."
55% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 55%
Book Implied 52%
Edge +2.6%
Line Movement
Current Spread: -1.5 (home), Total: 8.0, ML: -237/192
Movement No significant movement detected.
Positive but small edge from sharp spread signal.
FULL ANALYSIS
Despite sharp money and whale activity backing Detroit, the market prior shows no edge on the moneyline. The spread offers modest value via sharp divergence but lacks model confirmation. Total is a coin flip.
SHARP MONEY
Sharp money on home spread with 16.4% edge divergence and strong signal. Whales also back home.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Detroit Tigers -1.5
+5.0 EV 58% 0.5u
MONEYLINE Detroit Tigers None
-0.0 EV 55% 0u (no edge)
TOTAL under 8.0
-4.5 EV 55% 0u (no edge)
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 55%
Detroit Tigers -237
  • No edge; market probability matches our estimate exactly
SPREAD PICK
○ 58%
Detroit Tigers -1.5
  • Sharp money divergence on spread, whales backing home
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 55%
UNDER 8.0
  • No edge; insufficient data to project total
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
White Sox moneyline +199: model says 46% true probability vs market 33.5% – +37.5 EV per $100. Under 22.5 also strong at 77.5% Monte Carlo under rate.
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