NCAA Football
Auburn Tigers
Tigers
Tennessee Volunteers
Volunteers
Whale Activity Detected
$9246 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game.
Whales: away
Polymarket: 8 trades
Largest: $2004
⚠
Key Number Alert
KEY NUMBER: Spread at -7.0 — 9.2% of NFL games land on 7. Buying the half point is worth ~4.6% win probability. Pay up to -120 for the buy.
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGAAuburn Tigers
Tennessee Volunteers
OMEGA Model Lines
MODELSpread
1.1
Moneyline
TEN -117
/
AUB 117
Win Probability
54%
-
46%
OMEGA model estimate — not sportsbook lines. Market odds shown above when available from consensus sources.
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Auburn Tigers @ Tennessee Volunteers
+5.0 EV
per $100 wagered
Tennessee Volunteers
60%
Lean
OMEGA model sees no actionable edge on this game. Tennessee -7 at key number, but no edge data — on action.
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
55%
Book Implied
52%
Edge
+2.6%
Line Movement
Open
Tennessee -7.0 (model-projected)
Current
Tennessee -7.0 (model-projected)
Movement
No movement (model line only)
Slight edge on spread due to conservative probability estimate, but no validated edge in this sport.
FULL ANALYSIS
Key number alert at -7.0 for Tennessee. No quantitative models or market data available; all lines are model-projected. Spread shows a slight positive EV but lacks confirmation from sharp money or situational factors. Moneyline and total have negative EV and are not recommended. This is a display-tier analysis only.
Recommended Sizing
0.5u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
○
55%
Tennessee Volunteers -300
- No edge; model-projected win probability of 70% is below breakeven of 75% at -300
SPREAD PICK
○
60%
Tennessee Volunteers -7.0
- Spread conversion suggests Tennessee covers 55% of the time, slightly above breakeven at -110
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
55%
OVER 53.5
- No edge; model-projected 50% probability for over is below breakeven at -110
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Tennessee -7 at key number, but no edge data — pass on action.
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