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NHL
San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks
Sharks
St. Louis Blues
Blues
St. Louis Blues
Full Game Analysis
NHL
Ω OMEGA PICK
67% Sharp Lean
67% Sharp Lean
MONEYLINE
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
"Blues ML -142 (+4.2 EV): Sharks missing 4 key forwards including Toffoli/Couture crushes their offense by 0.7 goals"
EV / $100
+4.2
Win Prob
62%
Edge
+12.5%
Size
1u
SPREAD St. Louis Blues -142
64%
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
66%
Full OMEGA Breakdown

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San Jose Sharks

St. Louis Blues

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Bovada Best Line - -145 / 125 ↑ -
Pinnacle - -143 / 127 -
Kambi - -148 / 125 -
Bovada Best Line -2.5 (280) - -
Pinnacle -1.5 (175) ↓ - -
Bovada Best Line - - Over 3.5 (110)
Pinnacle - - Over 6.0 (-112)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

San Jose Sharks

R
Ryan Reaves
(RW) out — Reaves (hand) didn't participate in Monday's practice and is week-to-week, per Sheng Peng of San Jose Hockey Now.
Out
T
Tyler Toffoli
(C) out — Toffoli (lower body) remains questionable to play on San Jose's upcoming three-game road trip. per Curtis Pashelka of The San Jose Mercury News on Saturday.
Out
T
Ty Dellandrea
(C) Injured Reserve — Dellandrea (lower body) signed a two-year, $3.25 million contract with the Sharks on Friday.
Injured Reserve
L
Logan Couture
(C) Injured Reserve — ir-lt
Injured Reserve

St. Louis Blues

T
Tyler Tucker
(D) out — out
Out
Game Preview
San Jose Sharks @ St. Louis Blues
until puck drop
Current Line
Spread -2.5 (280)
Total Over 3.5
Key Injuries
Ryan Reaves Out
Tyler Toffoli Out
Tyler Tucker Out
Analysis starts at puck drop

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

San Jose Sharks @ St. Louis Blues

+4.2 EV
per $100 wagered
St. Louis Blues 67% Sharp Lean
"Blues ML -142 (+4.2 EV): Sharks missing 4 key forwards including Toffoli/Couture crushes their offense by 0.7 goals"
62% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 62%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +12.5%
Line Movement
Current STL -142 / Sharks +120 | Spread STL -142 | Total 6.5
Movement No movement data
+4.2 EV on Blues ML at -142; Sharks injuries create mismatch
Model: 40.9% win rate | n=22 — Based on N=22 graded NHL outcomes; building dataset
FULL ANALYSIS
Sharks hammered by injuries (Toffoli, Couture, Reaves, Dellandrea out) project to score just 2.9 goals vs Blues home D. Model sees Blues 62.5% win prob (3.6-2.9 expected) for +4.2 EV ML. Under 6.5 leans value with depleted Sharks offense; props target Blues stars vs weak matchup.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE St. Louis Blues
+4.2 EV 67% 1u
SPREAD St. Louis Blues -142
+2.8 EV 64% 0.5u
TOTAL Under 6.5 6.5
+3.1 EV 66% 1u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 68%
St. Louis Blues -160
  • Sharks missing Toffoli, Couture, Reaves, Dellandrea (4 key contributors) projects to -0.8 goals/game vs Blues attack led by Kyrou/Thomas
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
St. Louis Blues
  • Expected score diff 1.3 goals supports -1.5 cover; Sharks injuries cascade to weaker PK (28th last season)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 66%
UNDER 5.5 5.5
  • Sharks depleted offense (top leaders out) projects 2.1 goals; Blues avg 3.1 home defense holds firm
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Blues -160 ML +3.2 EV: Sharks -4 key players (Toffoli/Couture out) vs Kyrou/Thomas attack, model 62% win
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