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Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
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Toronto Blue Jays
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Toronto Blue Jays
Full Game Analysis
MLB
Ω OMEGA PICK
68% Strong
68% Strong
MONEYLINE
Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies +238
"Omega 12-12 poisson vs TOR -300/7.5 total = +39.5 EV Rockies ML, +165 EV Over with depleted TOR staff"
EV / $100
+39.5
Win Prob
0%
Edge
-49.7%
Size
1u
SPREAD Colorado Rockies +300
65%
TOTAL Toronto Blue Jays/Toronto Blue Jays OVER 7.5 7.5
78%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Ω OMEGA LINE Poisson + ELO Independent Projection
Spread
0.0
Edge: +300.0
Total
24.0
Edge: +16.5
Win Prob
33.0%
ML
204 / -204

Player Props Engine

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Colorado Rockies

Toronto Blue Jays

Betting Odds Comparison
Source Spread Moneyline Total
Pinnacle - -290 / 250 ↑ -
Pinnacle -1.5 (-127) - -
Pinnacle - - Over 7.5 (-107)
Line Movement
Open Current

Injury Report

Colorado Rockies

M
Mickey Moniak
(RF) 10-day IL — The Rockies placed Moniak (finger) on the 10-day injured list Friday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
10-Day-IL
R
RJ Petit
(RP) 60-day IL — The Rockies transferred Petit (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Thursday, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
T
Tyler Freeman
(RF) 10-day IL — The Rockies placed Freeman (back) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
M
McCade Brown
(SP) 15-day IL — The Rockies placed Brown (shoulder) on the 15-day injured list Wednesday.
15-Day-IL
B
Blaine Crim
(1B) 10-day IL — The Rockies placed Crim (oblique) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
P
Pierson Ohl
(RP) 60-day IL — The Rockies placed Ohl (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
60-Day-IL
Z
Zac Veen
(LF) 10-day IL — The Rockies placed Veen (knee) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
C
Case Williams
(SP) day-to-day — Williams is currently slowed by a stress reaction in his right triceps, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
B
Brayan Castillo
(RP) day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Castillo is dealing with right lat tightness and has been shut down from throwing while undergoing treatment for the injury, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jared Thomas
(CF) day-to-day — The Rockies announced Monday that Thomas hasn't been participating in spring training while he recovers from offseason surgery to address a fractured hamate bone in his right wrist, TheDNVR.com reports.
Day-To-Day
K
Kris Bryant
(DH) 60-day IL — Bryant said Tuesday that the ongoing pain in his back continues to prevent him from participating in baseball activities, though he's still consulting with doctors and trainers for potential rehab options, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
60-Day-IL
J
Jeff Criswell
(RP) 60-day IL — The Rockies transferred Criswell (elbow) to the 60-day injured list Monday.
60-Day-IL

Toronto Blue Jays

C
Cody Ponce
(SP) 15-day IL — Ponce (knee) has been diagnosed with a sprained right ACL and is expected to miss "significant time," Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
S
Shane Bieber
(SP) 15-day IL — Bieber (elbow) will throw off a mound Saturday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
T
Trey Yesavage
(SP) 15-day IL — Yesavage (shoulder) will throw a simulated game Friday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
Y
Yimi Garcia
(RP) 15-day IL — Garcia (elbow) will throw a bullpen session Tuesday, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
M
Mason Fluharty
(RP) day-to-day — Blue Jays manager John Schneider told reporters that Fluharty suffered a right knee contusion during Saturday's 8-7 extra-innings win over the Athletics, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
Day-To-Day
J
Jose Berrios
(SP) 15-day IL — Blue Jays general manager Ross Atkins said Thursday that Berrios (elbow) will throw off the mound before the end of this week, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
15-Day-IL
A
Anthony Santander
(RF) 10-day IL — The Blue Jays placed Santander (shoulder) on the 10-day injured list Wednesday.
10-Day-IL
C
Chay Yeager
(RP) out — Yeager will undergo season-ending UCL surgery on his right elbow Wednesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
Out
B
Bowden Francis
(SP) 60-day IL — Manager John Schneider revealed Tuesday that Francis is undergoing UCL reconstruction surgery on his right elbow and will miss the 2026 season, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reports.
60-Day-IL
Game Preview
Colorado Rockies @ Toronto Blue Jays
until first pitch
Current Line
Spread -1.5 (-127)
Total Over 7.5
Key Injuries
Mickey Moniak 10-Day-IL
RJ Petit 60-Day-IL
Cody Ponce 15-Day-IL
Shane Bieber 15-Day-IL
Analysis starts at first pitch

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Colorado Rockies @ Toronto Blue Jays

+39.5 EV
per $100 wagered
Colorado Rockies 68% Strong
"Omega 12-12 poisson vs TOR -300/7.5 total = +39.5 EV Rockies ML, +165 EV Over with depleted TOR staff"
0% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 0%
Book Implied 50%
Edge -49.7%
Line Movement
Current TOR -300 / Rockies +238 / Total 7.5
Movement No movement data
Massive edge on Rockies ML vs market overreaction; omega total implies 24 runs vs market 7.5
Model: 57.4% win rate | n=94 — Based on N=94 graded MLB outcomes; 4-2 vs Rockies
FULL ANALYSIS
Omega poisson craters market with 12-12 expected vs TOR -300/7.5 total—16.5pt total edge alone. TOR rotation gutted (Berrios/Bieber IL) while Scherzer/Cease carry staff but face high-run projection. Yesterday's H2H: Rockies ML lost but under cashed; model fades heavy fave chalk here.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
MONEYLINE Colorado Rockies +238
+39.5 EV 68% 1u
SPREAD Colorado Rockies +300
+45.2 EV 65% 1u
TOTAL Toronto Blue Jays/Toronto Blue Jays OVER 7.5 7.5
+165.0 EV 78% 2u
MONEYLINE PICK
● 68%
Colorado Rockies +224
  • Omega poisson projects 12-12 scores (28.7% TOR win prob) vs market 73.7% implied
SPREAD PICK
● 65%
Colorado Rockies +280
  • Omega spread 0.0 vs market TOR -280 shows 280pt edge on Rockies covering
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
● 75%
TORONTO BLUE JAYS / COLORADO ROCKIES OVER 8.0 8.0
  • Omega total 24.0 vs market 8.0 (16pt edge) from poisson 12-12 expected scores
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Omega 12-12 scores vs TOR -280 (280pt spread edge); Rockies ML +65 EV on pitching carnage
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