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Mixed Martial Arts
Shamil Gaziev
Shamil Gaziev
Gaziev
Brando Peričić
Peričić
Brando Peričić
Full Game Analysis
Mixed Martial Arts
Ω OMEGA PICK
52% Lean
52% Lean
SPREAD
Shamil Gaziev Shamil Gaziev -0.5
"Even ARTS matchup at 50/50 posterior, +2pp away lean on $1k minor whale signal but no +EV"
EV / $100
+0.1
Win Prob
52%
Edge
+2.0%
MONEYLINE Shamil Gaziev None
52%
TOTAL under 2.5
50%
Full OMEGA Breakdown
Whale Activity Detected
$1000 in prediction market whale trades detected on this game. Strong away consensus (100% of whale volume).
Whales: away Polymarket: 1 trades Largest: $1000

Player Props Engine

Powered by OMEGA

Shamil Gaziev

Brando Peričić

Model Lines

MODEL
Spread
—
Moneyline
BRA -100 / SHA -100
Win Probability
50% - 50%

Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.

Game Preview
Shamil Gaziev @ Brando Peričić
until tip-off
Analysis starts at tip-off

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Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS

Shamil Gaziev @ Brando Peričić

+0.1 EV
per $100 wagered
Shamil Gaziev 52% Lean
"Even ARTS matchup at 50/50 posterior, +2pp away lean on $1k minor whale signal but no +EV"
52% Win Probability
EV Breakdown
Model Prob 52%
Book Implied 50%
Edge +2.0%
Line Movement
Current omega_model ML: Shamil Gaziev -108 / Brando Peričić +108 | Spread: 0.0 (-110) | Total: 2.5 (-110)
Movement No line movement (no market odds)
Minimal edge at model fair odds; no market for comparison, requires better than -125 to show +EV
FULL ANALYSIS
Bayesian fusion posterior dead even at 50/50 with no quant models or injuries available. Minor $1k whale volume (1 wallet) on Gaziev provides tiny +2pp lean to away in data-poor spot. Poor data quality mandates PASS across board; model lines generated as fair value anchors.
SHARP MONEY
Minor whale signal ($1,000 volume, 1 wallet, 100% on away); too small for strong action
ALL PICKS AT A GLANCE
SPREAD Shamil Gaziev -0.5
+0.1 EV 52%
MONEYLINE Shamil Gaziev None
+0.2 EV 52%
TOTAL under 2.5
50%
MONEYLINE PICK
○ 52%
Shamil Gaziev -108
  • Bayesian posterior 50% adjusted +2pp for minor whale volume on away side
SPREAD PICK
○ 52%
Shamil Gaziev -0.5
  • Model posterior leans away 52% in even fight due to minor whale signal
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○ 50%
UNDER 2.5
  • Model projects standard 3-round fight under typical duration with no pace data
About This Analysis

Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.

Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.

Edge Summary
Gaziev ML +100 (51% our prob vs 50% implied, +2 EV); data vacuum limits to lean only
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