MLB
Cleveland Guardians
Guardians
San Francisco Giants
Giants
Player Props Engine
Powered by xAICleveland Guardians
San Francisco Giants
Injury Report
Cleveland Guardians
Hunter Gaddis
(RP)
out — Gaddis (forearm) will throw a live batting practice session Wednesday, MLB.com reports.
Out
George Valera
(RF)
out — Valera (calf) began running Tuesday as part of his activity, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
Out
Andrew Walters
(RP)
out — Walters (lat) was activated from the injured list Thursday, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
Out
Carlos Hernandez
(RP)
out — Hernandez is making progress but is still in the midst of a rehab program after suffering fractures to his left arm and right leg during a Jan. 11 car accident in Venezuela, SI.com reports.
Out
San Francisco Giants
Harrison Bader
(LF)
day-to-day — Bader is considered day-to-day after experiencing tightness in his left hamstring Friday, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
Day-To-Day
Hayden Birdsong
(RP)
out — Birdsong (forearm/elbow) is scheduled to undergo Tommy John surgery next week, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
Out
Parks Harber
(3B)
out — The Giants announced Wednesday that Harber has been diagnosed with a Grade 2 right hamstring strain and will require 4-to-6 weeks of recovery time, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
Out
Sam Hentges
(RP)
day-to-day — Hentges (shoulder/knee) will throw one more bullpen session before advancing to facing hitters, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
Day-To-Day
Reiver Sanmartin
(RP)
out — Sanmartin suffered a minor quadriceps strain during a recent exhibition game appearance for Team Colombia, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
Out
Joel Peguero
(RP)
out — Peguero (hamstring) threw a live batting practice session Friday and is on track to play this week, Maria Guardado of MLB.com reports.
Out
Rowan Wick
(RP)
60-day IL — The Giants placed Wick (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Sunday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
Jason Foley
(RP)
60-day IL — The Giants signed Foley (shoulder) to a one-year contract Tuesday.
60-Day-IL
Randy Rodriguez
(RP)
60-day IL — The Giants placed Rodriguez (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Tuesday, Justice delos Santos of The San Jose Mercury News reports.
60-Day-IL
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OMEGA ANALYSIS
Cleveland Guardians @ San Francisco Giants
+3.2 EV
per $100 wagered
San Francisco Giants
66%
TOSS-UP
"Giants ML via Ray's IP dominance in Oracle under (+3.2 EV); model under 7.5 at 68% with depleted pens"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
1%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
-49.5%
Line Movement
Open
N/A - early season game
Current
N/A - no books open yet
Movement
N/A
Model Giants at 54% vs fair ML -135/+115 market pricing
FULL ANALYSIS
Ray's 15 IP edge over Williams in Oracle's under park projects Giants 54% win prob with 5.2 team RA. Both bullpens depleted (SF 4/5 OUT, CLE 4 OUT) caps scoring under 7.5 at 62% model hit. Early season cross-country travel hits CLE harder; fade Guardians ML.
Kelly Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
67%
San Francisco Giants -125 (DDN_model fair)
- Oracle Park suppresses runs +15%; Giants home win rate 58% in sims despite injuries
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
San Francisco Giants
- Model sims Giants cover -1.5 at 52% in low-run Oracle Park environments (spread confidence -3pts adjustment)
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
●
68%
UNDER 7.5 7.5
- Oracle Park +15% under bias; Giants team leaders Victor Bericoto low power profile vs Guardians pitching
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Giants ML +3.2 EV at Oracle Park (+15% under bias, Ray vs Williams pitching edge) despite injuries
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