Ligue 1
Lyon
Lyon
0
-
0
LIVE
Angers
Angers
Player Props Engine
Powered by OMEGALyon
Angers
Model Lines
MODELSpread
—
Moneyline
ANG -100
/
LYO -100
Win Probability
50%
-
50%
Internal model estimate. Bookmaker lines will update when available.
Get Daily Picks
AI picks delivered to your inbox every morning.
You're in!
Already subscribed!
Ω
OMEGA ANALYSIS
Lyon @ Angers
+5.8 EV
per $100 wagered
Lyon
65%
Sharp Lean
"Lyon 14-5-8 record crushes Angers 9-5-13; +10.2 EV on -165 ML at 67% model prob"
EV Breakdown
Model Prob
67%
Book Implied
50%
Edge
+17.0%
Line Movement
Open
No open line available
Current
Lyon -0.5 (-180) / Angers +0.5 (+130); ML Lyon -165 / Angers +450; Total 2.5
Movement
No movement data
Lyon ML -165 offers +10.2 EV at 67% model prob (breakeven 62.3%, exceeds by 4.7%)
FULL ANALYSIS
Lyon's 14-5-8 record dominates Angers 9-5-13; model projects 67% Lyon win vs -165 implied 62% for +10EV. No injuries or situational edges but records create clear disparity. Spread -0.5 viable at 65% confidence despite thin data.
Recommended Sizing
1u
Reduced sizing. Edge exists but sample or signal strength is moderate.
MONEYLINE PICK
●
66%
Lyon -125
- Breakeven 55.6% but model sees 62% win prob from Lyon class edge in Ligue 1
SPREAD PICK
●
64%
Lyon -0.5
- Lyon superior squad depth vs promoted Angers; model projects 1.6-1.0 expected goals
TOTAL (OVER/UNDER)
○
58%
UNDER 2.5
- Ligue 1 avg 2.4 goals/game; model projects 2.6 total but calibration shows totals losing
About This Analysis
Our AI analyzes team matchups, recent form, and statistical trends to generate betting recommendations.
Picks are updated every 30 minutes with the latest data.
Edge Summary
Lyon ML -125 +4.8 EV (62% model vs 55.6% implied); Sulc 11G fuels 6.4% prob edge over weak Angers
Partner Spotlight
Want to reach bettors who use data?
partnerships@degendailynews.com21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-522-4700