Baltimore Orioles at New York Mets
Ω
OMEGA PICK
55%
Lean
SPREAD
Baltimore Orioles
1.5
calibrated gives away +1.5 55.8% cover probability vs market 50%, +5.8pp edge
Ω Bottom Line
Mets ML has +3.9pp Bayesian edge but below 8pp threshold; Orioles +1.5 offers +5.8pp edge but sharp money disagrees; total is a pass.
All OMEGA Picks
MONEYLINE
New York Mets
calibrated gives 60.6% win probability vs market 56.7%, +3.9pp edge
SPREAD
Baltimore Orioles
Line: 1.5
calibrated gives away +1.5 55.8% cover probability vs market 50%, +5.8pp edge
Game Analysis
OMEGA analysis generated.