Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons
Ω
OMEGA PICK
62%
Lean
SPREAD
Detroit Pistons
-3.5
Sharp RLM on home spread with 1.1% edge and cross-market consensus on DET -3.
Ω Bottom Line
DET -3.5 w/ sharp RLM (1.1% edge) + extreme $727k whales (83% conf) on ML despite CLE injury edge
All OMEGA Picks
SPREAD
Detroit Pistons
Line: -3.5
Sharp RLM on home spread with 1.1% edge and cross-market consensus on DET -3.
MONEYLINE
Detroit Pistons
Extreme institutional whale signals ($727k volume, 83% confidence from 36 profitable wallets) on home ML.
TOTAL
over
Line: 215.5
Strong sharp edge 24.1% on over with RLM confirmation and +EV analysis.
Game Analysis
Detroit's Huerter out costs 6.9% efficiency but Bayesian/ML posterior holds at 58.7% home win prob matching market. Sharp action leans away spread/ML moderate but strong over total 23.8% edge with RLM; whales $31k strong home overrides. Degraded data caps conf, favor small lean home spread + over.
Correlated Player Props
PROP ALERT
Cade Cunningham
Detroit Pistons
Over 24.0 points
62%
High-usage lead guard at home, projection boosted by CLE injury cascade.
PROP ALERT
Cade Cunningham
Detroit Pistons
Over 9.5 assists
60%
Primary playmaker with elevated role sans Huerter.
PROP ALERT
Jalen Duren
Detroit Pistons
Over 10.5 rebounds
61%
Strong rebounder vs Mobley/Allen frontcourt.
PROP ALERT
Tobias Harris
Detroit Pistons
Over 15.5 points
58%
Consistent scorer in secondary role, home boost.
PROP ALERT
Caris LeVert
Detroit Pistons
Under 12.0 points
57%
Variable bench production vs strong CLE wings.
PROP ALERT
Paul Reed
Detroit Pistons
Under 6.5 rebounds
59%
Backup big limited minutes behind Duren.
PROP ALERT
Duncan Robinson
Detroit Pistons
Over 2.0 three_pointers
60%
Shooter thrives in pace-up spot.
PROP ALERT
Marcus Sasser
Detroit Pistons
Under 3.5 assists
58%
Rookie limited by Cunningham dominance.
PROP ALERT
Donovan Mitchell
Cleveland Cavaliers
Over 28.0 points
64%
Elite scorer volume up on road vs DET perimeter D.
PROP ALERT
Donovan Mitchell
Cleveland Cavaliers
Over 5.5 assists
61%
Playmaking spikes with Merrill DTD.
PROP ALERT
Jarrett Allen
Cleveland Cavaliers
Over 10.0 rebounds
60%
Double-double threat in high-pace game.
PROP ALERT
Dennis Schroder
Cleveland Cavaliers
Under 11.5 points
58%
Backup role behind Mitchell/Harden.
PROP ALERT
Larry Nance Jr.
Cleveland Cavaliers
Under 5.0 rebounds
57%
Limited minutes with Allen/Mobley healthy.
PROP ALERT
Max Strus
Cleveland Cavaliers
Over 2.0 three_pointers
59%
Spot-up volume in over-biased total.