Croatia at England

Zero quantitative edge on any side of England vs Croatia. The Bayesian posterior matches the market prior at 58.3% — no model divergence to exploit. No injury data, no recent form, no head-to-head history, no line movement. Data quality is 24%, the lowest tier. Every pick ships at 55-58 confidence with 0.0 EV or worse. The only defensible call is to sit this game out.