Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox

MLB April 28, 2026 11:40 PM ET

Ω OMEGA PICK

64% Sharp Lean

SPREAD

Chicago White Sox

1.5

Market Consensus de-vigged fair 57.3% CHW +1.5 cover vs Public Line implied 44.8% (+49% EV alt book); OMEGA spread + model margin -0.2

Ω Bottom Line

CHW +1.5 57% fair cover (Pinnacle) vs 45% implied (+12pp EV), model total 22.5 torches 8.0

All OMEGA Picks

SPREAD

Chicago White Sox

Line: 1.5

64%

Market Consensus de-vigged fair 57.3% CHW +1.5 cover vs Public Line implied 44.8% (+49% EV alt book); OMEGA spread + model margin -0.2

TOTAL

over

Line: 8.0

60%

calibrated 65.2% over 8.0 vs market 50% (+15.2pp); omega/MC proj 20-22.5 total

Game Analysis

Omega even spread and 22.5 total crushed by market 1.5/-115 Angels and 9.5 total; MC 19.7 proj screams over 9.5 (+45 EV). White Sox +1.5 has 60% cover (MC -0.4 margin, std 4.6). Extreme whales ($898k) on home override moderate sharp away; equal injuries.

Correlated Player Props

PROP ALERT

Davis Martin Chicago White Sox

Over 4.5 strikeouts 60%

Model projection 5.8 K; leader w/ 26 season K, 2.01 ERA vs weak Angels lineup (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Munetaka Murakami Chicago White Sox

Under 0.5 home_runs 58%

Model proj 0.2 HR; 12 HR pace regresses in even matchup (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Munetaka Murakami Chicago White Sox

Over 0.5 rbis 57%

Model proj 0.9 RBI; team leader 23 RBI high usage (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Chase Meidroth Chicago White Sox

Over 0.5 hits 55%

Model proj 0.9 hits; .262 avg vs Angels SP (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Davis Martin Chicago White Sox

Under 5.5 strikeouts 56%

Model proj 4.9; high total environment caps (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Chase Meidroth Chicago White Sox

Over 1.0 total_bases 55%

Model proj 1.3 TB in projected 20+ total (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Munetaka Murakami Chicago White Sox

Under 1.0 hits 59%

Model proj 0.8 hits; Angels pen impact (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Davis Martin Chicago White Sox

Under 3.5 hits 57%

Model proj 3.2 H allowed; EWMA form 5.2 (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Mike Trout Los Angeles Angels

Over 1.5 total_bases 60%

Model proj 2.1 TB; star usage in high total spot (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Jo Adell Los Angeles Angels

Over 0.5 hits 58%

Model proj 0.9 hits; .262 avg vs White Sox (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Jorge Soler Los Angeles Angels

Under 0.5 home_runs 59%

Model proj 0.3 HR; 9 HR pace regresses (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Jose Soriano Los Angeles Angels

Over 4.5 strikeouts 60%

Model proj 5.4 K; 0.24 WHIP leader (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Mike Trout Los Angeles Angels

Over 0.5 rbis 57%

Model proj 0.9 RBI high usage (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Jo Adell Los Angeles Angels

Over 1.0 total_bases 56%

Model proj 1.4 TB projected overs (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Jorge Soler Los Angeles Angels

Under 0.5 hits 55%

Model proj 0.4 hits vs White Sox SP (omega model)

PROP ALERT

Jose Soriano Los Angeles Angels

Under 5.5 strikeouts 58%

Model proj 5.0; high scoring caps volume (omega model)

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