Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
Ω
OMEGA PICK
62%
Lean
TOTAL
OVER
8.0
calibrated 65.2% over vs market 50%, +15.2pp edge. Strongest signal in this game.
Ω Bottom Line
Over 8.0: Bayesian posterior 65.2% vs market 50%, +15.2pp edge, despite data degradation.
All OMEGA Picks
TOTAL
over
Line: 8.0
calibrated 65.2% over vs market 50%, +15.2pp edge. Strongest signal in this game.
Game Analysis
With no market data, we rely on Omega model and Monte Carlo. Bayesian fusion shows home at 60% versus prediction market 65%, indicating slight model skepticism of home. Whale volume supports home. The absurd total of 22.5 drives a massive under edge in Monte Carlo (76.9%), but such a high total is suspect. Moneyline home offers the clearest positive EV, though confidence is capped at LEAN due to data quality and model disagreement.